Crafts · The Shadow Collection
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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1742162 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +26 738.83₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 16 616.23₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 43 355.06₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +160.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 100%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 42 096.09₽ · profit at most +1 258.96₽ (at most +3.0%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1193.90 → 2578.82 ₽
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 992.01 → 2142.74 ₽
P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 14430.32 → 37374.53 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −16 616 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −16 616 ₽: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New), M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New), USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New), M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+26 738.83 ₽ +160.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 69 906.13 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −16 616 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 009.55 ₽ +11.7% chance of profit 70%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) · 11 546.71 ₽ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
  • 4× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+824.51 ₽ +13.6% chance of profit 60%
expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 9 250.39 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 1× MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 3× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 4 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+28 328.41 ₽ +164.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 69 906.13 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −17 226 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 9× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+12 094.65 ₽ +83.6% chance of profit 65%
expensive: AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 46 420.08 ₽ · chance 35%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 466 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 1× SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 6× SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+11 182.17 ₽ +40.7% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AWP | LongDog (Factory New) · 42 460.45 ₽ · chance 80%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 498 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 7× MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
1 193.90 ₽
at 1 193.90
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074363f′ (normalized) 0.082626wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 35 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 921.73 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 41) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
AUG | Bengal Tiger
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1625
992.01 ₽
at 992.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162546f′ (normalized) 0.138575wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 66 · from 3 367.22 ₽ (float 0.1556) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
14 430.32 ₽
at 1 803.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074363f′ (normalized) 0.059849wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 59 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 9 611.52 ₽ · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 63) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 16 616.23 ₽ +26 738.83 (+160.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.050800, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 100%
  • Losing outcome 0%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Jaguar
Factory New
80 392.05 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)net 69906.13 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 43 891.37 ₽ (you get 38 166.40)) · buy orders: 522 sell on Market.CSGO: 35 313.55 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 38 721.00 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 34 263.25 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 38 282.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 34 607.59 ₽ listings: 54
in profit
worst
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Factory New
24 383.36 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)net 21202.92 you get 0.050800The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 205.78 ₽ (you get 19 309.37)) · buy orders: 887 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 409.64 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 186.01 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 16 454.07 ₽ listings: 55 on CS.Money: ~ 19 020.39 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 17 832.31 ₽ listings: 156
in profit
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Factory New
24 819.09 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)net 21581.82 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 23 228.96 ₽ (you get 20 199.09)) · buy orders: 944 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 318.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 376.05 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 18 673.47 ₽ listings: 82 on CS.Money: ~ 20 187.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 19 289.35 ₽ listings: 151
in profit
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
29 368.54 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)net 25537.86 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 090.02 ₽ (you get 22 686.97)) · buy orders: 803 sell on Market.CSGO: 20 143.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 22 087.51 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 18 153.53 ₽ listings: 86 on CS.Money: ~ 20 077.41 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 19 149.73 ₽ listings: 89
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