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The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +20.89$

Invest 66.41$

Average return 87.30$

ROI +31.4%

Chance of profit 97%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 168.89$ · profit at most −81.58$ (at most -48.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 54.11 → 142.31 $

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 12.30 → 26.58 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+20.89 $ +31.5% chance of profit 97%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+25.23 $ +41.7% chance of profit 97%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0055

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+23.01 $ +38.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
1× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+21.80 $ +35.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 5 only The Spy Tech Collection

+21.74 $ +32.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 50%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
1× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+21.59 $ +33.8% chance of profit 97%

expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 92.26 $ · chance 45%

sells slowly

9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

54.11 $

at 6.01

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

12.30 $

at 12.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.41 $ +20.89 (+31.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −16 $

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Smart Gun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

7.45 $

at 3.72

Steam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

24.05 $

at 6.01

Steam

×4

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

49.22 $

at 12.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.71 $ +1.48 (+1.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −5 $

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

42.09 $

at 6.01

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

9.81 $

at 9.81

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

24.61 $

at 12.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.50 $ +7.39 (+9.7%)

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Nova | Smart Gun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

3.72 $

at 3.72

Steam

×7

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

42.09 $

at 6.01

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

24.61 $

at 12.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.42 $ +15.18 (+21.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 97%
Losing outcome 3%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Factory New

106.10 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Factory New

98.62 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

98.92 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

101.11 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

48.28 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.75 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spy Tech Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1713087 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 21.06$ · invest 62.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076511
Craft 1734528 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 19.11$ · invest 63.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build