Crafts · The Train 2025 Collection
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The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1743048 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 580.13₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 193.17₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 773.30₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +163.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 694.33₽ · profit at most +78.97₽ (at most +1.4%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2036.34 → 5355.57 ₽
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 156.83 → 338.75 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 610 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 610 ₽: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Marina (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
+3 580.13 ₽ +163.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 610 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+3 950.83 ₽ +160.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 967 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064
  • 1× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0245
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+3 793.28 ₽ +165.4% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 685 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+3 670.75 ₽ +166.4% chance of profit 32%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 626 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+3 558.87 ₽ +159.6% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 649 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 13 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0037
2 036.34 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003780f′ (normalized) 0.005064wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 19
on the market with this float, usually ~11, new ~1.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 235 · from 1 227.48 ₽ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
156.83 ₽
at 156.83
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074321f′ (normalized) 0.060802wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 91 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 2 193.17 ₽ +3 580.13 (+163.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.010638198 result 0.007447, 0.010638, 0.070000, 0.054787, 0.004255, 0.003191, 0.005319 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 7 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 68%
  • About break-even 2%
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 30.00%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.007447 sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.010638 sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
in profit
best
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Factory New
19 700.88 ₽ 30.00%
price without deals
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New)net 17131.20 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 721.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 141.76 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 13 421.77 ₽ listings: 207 on CS.Money: ~ 14 491.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 700.16 ₽ listings: 118
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Marina
Factory New
2 339.00 ₽ 2.50%
price without deals
Steam Dual Berettas | Marina (Factory New)net 2033.91 you get 0.054787The Winter Offensive Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 143.89 ₽ (you get 1 864.25)) · buy orders: 543 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 434.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 669.91 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 1 917.89 ₽ listings: 35 on Lis-Skins: from 1 921.31 ₽ listings: 38
about break-even
FAMAS | Pulse
Factory New
2 398.61 ₽ 2.50%
Steam FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New)net 2085.75 you get 0.004255The Winter Offensive Collection sells ≈22 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 333.22 ₽ (you get 2 028.88)) · buy orders: 6289 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 934.16 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 120.80 · lots 27 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 1 866.49 ₽ listings: 174 on CS.Money: ~ 1 926.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 921.31 ₽ listings: 181
at a loss
MP9 | Rose Iron
Factory New
940.73 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)net 818.03 you get 0.003191The Winter Offensive Collection sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 808.98 ₽ (you get 703.46)) · buy orders: 2743 sell on Market.CSGO: 691.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 758.31 · lots 27 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 658.71 ₽ listings: 172 on CS.Money: ~ 681.84 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 657.85 ₽ listings: 195
at a loss
Nova | Rising Skull
Factory New
756.42 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)net 657.76 you get 0.005319The Winter Offensive Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 753.52 ₽ (you get 655.23)) · buy orders: 1169 sell on Market.CSGO: 601.19 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 659.21 · lots 20 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 537.08 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 605.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 53
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