Crafts · The Train 2025 Collection
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The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1743058 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 570.63₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 854.04₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 424.67₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +66.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 810.01₽ · profit at most −3 385.34₽ (at most -34.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 452.52 → 1000.07 ₽
MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 3401.52 → 8809.94 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 661 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 661 ₽: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), P250 | Splash (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection
+2 570.63 ₽ +66.7% chance of profit 80%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 27%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 661 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 8× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+3 793.28 ₽ +165.4% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 685 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0073
  • 1× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0873
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+3 670.75 ₽ +166.4% chance of profit 32%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 626 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
  • 1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0751
Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+3 580.13 ₽ +163.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 610 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+3 558.87 ₽ +159.6% chance of profit 34%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 649 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 13 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0035
452.52 ₽
at 226.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003519f′ (normalized) 0.004714wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 505 · good ≈ 18
on the market with this float, usually ~11, new ~1.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 498.16 ₽ · among lots up to 3 300.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 235 · from 1 227.48 ₽ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
MAG-7 | Memento
Factory New
buy 0.0200–0.0225
3 401.52 ₽
at 425.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.022514f′ (normalized) 0.015713wear 0.0200–0.0700on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 28) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 3 854.04 ₽ +2 570.63 (+66.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.061622, 0.070000, 0.009459, 0.013513, 0.072703 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
best
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
11 274.00 ₽ 26.67%
price without deals
Steam Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 9803.48 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 055.58 ₽ (you get 7 874.41)) · buy orders: 382 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 120.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 904.39 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 7 610.72 ₽ listings: 8 on Lis-Skins: from 7 702.38 ₽ listings: 6
in profit
P250 | Splash
Factory New
6 425.62 ₽ 26.67%
price without deals
Steam P250 | Splash (Factory New)net 5587.50 you get 0.061622The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 844.31 ₽ (you get 4 212.44)) · buy orders: 297 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 220.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 724.60 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 3 638.76 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 3 938.56 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 159.56 ₽ listings: 18
in profit
Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
9 174.21 ₽ 26.67%
price without deals
Steam Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 7977.57 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 654.29 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
worst
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
725.39 ₽ 6.67%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 630.77 you get 0.009459 sells 74 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 579.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 634.91 · lots 72 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 582.48 ₽ listings: 384 on CS.Money: ~ 574.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 550.78 ₽ listings: 620
at a loss
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 168.47 ₽ 6.67%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 1016.06 you get 0.013513 sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 827.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 907.05 · lots 90 on CSFloat: from 853.15 ₽ listings: 284 on CS.Money: ~ 943.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 842.02 ₽ listings: 356
at a loss
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Minimal Wear
1 436.39 ₽ 6.67%
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)net 1249.03 you get 0.072703 sells 89 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 411.41 ₽ (you get 1 227.31)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 140.93 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 251.03 · lots 88 on CSFloat: from 1 062.16 ₽ listings: 585 on CS.Money: ~ 1 299.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 098.14 ₽ listings: 645
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