Crafts · The Vanguard Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1743100 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +8.55$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 17.35$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 25.90$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +49.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 47%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 44.28$ · profit at most −18.38$ (at most -41.5%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 0.76 → 1.65 $
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 15.84 → 41.02 $
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 0.75 → 1.62 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −9 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −9 $: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New), FAMAS | Valence (Factory New), Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection
+8.55 $ +49.3% chance of profit 47%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 73.42 $ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 6 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 1× Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+27.57 $ +66.4% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 114.45 $ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −38 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+21.48 $ +74.1% chance of profit 38%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 182.82 $ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+20.17 $ +69.0% chance of profit 38%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 182.82 $ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857
Variant 5 only The Vanguard Collection
+9.66 $ +54.1% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 73.42 $ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+8.25 $ +46.6% chance of profit 48%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 73.42 $ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 7× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
G3SG1 | Murky
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
0.76 $
at 0.76
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074908f′ (normalized) 0.299632wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 63 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 76) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
15.84 $
at 1.98
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074908f′ (normalized) 0.051407wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 105) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Tec-9 | Jambiya
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1641
0.75 $
at 0.75
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164110f′ (normalized) 0.164110wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 91 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 104) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 17.35 $ +8.55 (+49.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.040125, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.087500, 0.070000, 0.053375, 0.087500, 0.039375, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 47%
  • Losing outcome 53%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
10.02 $ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 8.71 you get 0.040125 sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 10.04 $ (you get 8.73)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 7.65 $ to your card cheapest lot 8.39 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 6.99 $ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 7.49 $ on Lis-Skins: from 7.43 $ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
84.43 $ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 73.42 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 75.26 $ (you get 65.45)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 63.73 $ to your card cheapest lot 69.88 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 60.00 $ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 64.84 $ on Lis-Skins: from 62.88 $ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
29.12 $ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 25.32 you get 0.059500 sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 29.01 $ (you get 25.23)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 24.51 $ to your card cheapest lot 26.88 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 24.31 $ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 24.62 $ on Lis-Skins: from 24.05 $ listings: 211
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
3.00 $ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 2.61 you get 0.087500 sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 2.49 $ (you get 2.16)) · buy orders: 2895 sell on Market.CSGO: 2.13 $ to your card cheapest lot 2.33 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 2.06 $ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 2.23 $ on Lis-Skins: from 2.14 $ listings: 61
in profit
FAMAS | Valence
Factory New
32.01 $ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)net 27.83 you get 0.070000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 30.23 $ (you get 26.29)) · buy orders: 2973 sell on Market.CSGO: 26.93 $ to your card cheapest lot 29.52 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 23.53 $ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 26.18 $ on Lis-Skins: from 25.57 $ listings: 122
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Factory New
13.85 $ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New)net 12.05 you get 0.053375The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12.36 $ (you get 10.75)) · buy orders: 6017 sell on Market.CSGO: 10.31 $ to your card cheapest lot 11.31 · lots 63 on CSFloat: from 10.24 $ listings: 69 on Lis-Skins: from 10.17 $ listings: 249
at a loss
Glock-18 | Royal Legion
Minimal Wear
5.18 $ 2.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)net 4.50 you get 0.087500The Wildfire Collection sells 104 a week sell now to a buy order: 5.14 $ (you get 4.47)) · buy orders: 13690 sell on Market.CSGO: 4.17 $ to your card cheapest lot 4.58 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 4.00 $ listings: 92 on CS.Money: ~ 3.95 $ on Lis-Skins: from 4.17 $ listings: 132
at a loss
MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
5.59 $ 2.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New)net 4.86 you get 0.039375The Wildfire Collection sells 16 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 5.14 $ to your card cheapest lot 5.64 · lots 30 on CSFloat: from 4.85 $ listings: 87 on CS.Money: ~ 5.13 $ on Lis-Skins: from 4.98 $ listings: 55
at a loss
MP7 | Impire
Factory New
8.58 $ 2.00%
Steam MP7 | Impire (Factory New)net 7.46 you get 0.035000The Wildfire Collection sells 38 a week sell now to a buy order: 8.54 $ (you get 7.43)) · buy orders: 5932 sell on Market.CSGO: 6.60 $ to your card cheapest lot 7.24 · lots 54 on CSFloat: from 6.94 $ listings: 109 on CS.Money: ~ 6.80 $ on Lis-Skins: from 6.73 $ listings: 169
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