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The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +490.67₽

Invest 3 910.99₽

Average return 4 401.66₽

ROI +12.6%

Chance of profit 53%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 392.39₽ · profit at most −4 990.73₽ (at most -53.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 514.22 → 1136.43 ₽

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 638.37 → 1442.72 ₽

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 2758.40 → 6813.25 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 318 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

+490.67 ₽ +12.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) · 6 575.90 ₽ · chance 27%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 318 ₽

2× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
3× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
5× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+13 134.78 ₽ +77.6% chance of profit 60%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 926 ₽

4× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+11 815.43 ₽ +79.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −14 440 ₽

5× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+1 295.17 ₽ +25.1% chance of profit 83%

expensive: AWP | Corticera (Factory New) · 10 429.47 ₽ · chance 12%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 493 ₽

5× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
5× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+738.21 ₽ +17.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: AWP | Corticera (Factory New) · 10 429.47 ₽ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 485 ₽

1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0774
1× P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1714
8× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0774

Variant 6 only The Wildfire Collection

+526.43 ₽ +12.1% chance of profit 67%

expensive: AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) · 6 575.90 ₽ · chance 33%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 593 ₽

4× Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
6× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

514.22 ₽

at 257.11

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

638.37 ₽

at 212.79

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

2 758.40 ₽

at 551.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 910.99 ₽ +490.67 (+12.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −3 337 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

158.02 ₽

at 158.02

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

514.22 ₽

at 257.11

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

425.58 ₽

at 212.79

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2 758.40 ₽

at 551.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 856.22 ₽ +315.76 (+8.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

best

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

7 562.28 ₽ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

6 649.47 ₽ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

2 558.80 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cartel

Factory New

3 551.86 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

2 827.56 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

2 467.06 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -239.25 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +184.69 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1728051 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 545.64₽ · invest 1 442.22₽
profit on prices without salesat least −225 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); AWP | Elite Build: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074241 instead of 0.075075
Craft 1742658 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 470.47₽ · invest 1 992.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −300 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); AWP | Elite Build: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075789 instead of 0.075075

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build