The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +4 627.36₸

Invest 118 483.18₸

Average return 123 110.54₸

ROI +3.9%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 285 109.17₸ · profit at most −161 998.63₸ (at most -56.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 3 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 18598.96 → 42033.64 ₸

XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) × 6 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 78073.12 → 195963.53 ₸

FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 21811.10 → 47111.98 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −92 375 ₸

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+4 627.34 ₸ +3.9% chance of profit 45%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 215 561.22 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −92 375 ₸

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
1× FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0240

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+133 540.12 ₸ +152.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 368 710.78 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −85 232 ₸

1× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+124 105.55 ₸ +127.3% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 368 710.78 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −92 139 ₸

1× FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
9× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748

Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection

+21 201.03 ₸ +19.3% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 215 561.22 ₸ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −86 580 ₸

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
7× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+19 982.71 ₸ +18.1% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 215 561.22 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −89 907 ₸

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
1× Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057

Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

+12 733.74 ₸ +11.4% chance of profit 45%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 215 561.22 ₸ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −89 352 ₸

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
1× P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

18 598.96 ₸

at 6 199.65

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

78 073.12 ₸

at 13 012.19

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0240

21 811.10 ₸

at 21 811.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118 483.18 ₸ +4 627.36 (+3.9%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

247 895.38 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

53 140.80 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | X-Ray

Factory New

61 108.16 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -3 616.69 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 387.11 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build