Crafts · The Wildfire Collection
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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1743208 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 727.70₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 505.50₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 4 233.20₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +69.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 38%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 498.31₽ · profit at most −2 265.11₽ (at most -34.9%) · chance of profit at most 18%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 193.94 → 418.91 ₽
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 2311.56 → 6079.40 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 394 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 394 ₽: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New), PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New), FAMAS | Valence (Factory New), Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 727.70 ₽ +69.0% chance of profit 38%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 394 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857
Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+2 361.74 ₽ +66.4% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 296 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 962.11 ₽ +76.4% chance of profit 40%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 431 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 10× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0856

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0057
193.94 ₽
at 193.94
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005767f′ (normalized) 0.011535wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 216 · good ≈ 9
on the market with this float, usually ~9, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 600.00 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×9
XM1014 | Red Python
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0800–0.0857
2 311.56 ₽
at 256.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.085767f′ (normalized) 0.013733wear 0.0800–0.1500on the market 42 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 815.10 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 2 505.50 ₽ +1 727.70 (+69.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.002703, 0.001081, 0.070000, 0.010811, 0.008243, 0.013513, 0.006081, 0.005405 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 10 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 38%
  • Losing outcome 60%
  • About break-even 2%
at a loss
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak
Factory New
1 500.00 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals
Steam PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)net 1304.35 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 156.09 ₽ (you get 1 005.29)) · buy orders: 826
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web
Factory New
18 009.07 ₽ 18.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 15660.06 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 852.30 ₽ (you get 12 915.04)) · buy orders: 1148
in profit
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption
Factory New
3 837.77 ₽ 18.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)net 3337.19 you get 0.002703The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 905.28 ₽ (you get 3 395.89)) · buy orders: 5644
at a loss
MP7 | Ocean Foam
Factory New
1 060.53 ₽ 18.00%
Steam MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)net 922.20 you get 0.001081The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 28 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 062.38 ₽ (you get 923.80)) · buy orders: 3956
at a loss
P90 | Virus
Factory New
1 643.05 ₽ 18.00%
Steam P90 | Virus (Factory New)net 1428.74 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 638.04 ₽ (you get 1 424.38)) · buy orders: 1297
about break-even
FAMAS | Valence
Factory New
2 741.65 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)net 2384.04 you get 0.010811
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 589.50 ₽ (you get 2 251.73)) · buy orders: 2973
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Factory New
1 186.71 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New)net 1031.92 you get 0.008243
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 058.56 ₽ (you get 920.48)) · buy orders: 6017
in profit
Glock-18 | Royal Legion
Factory New
3 812.93 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New)net 3315.59 you get 0.013513 sells ≈15 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders
at a loss
worst
MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
478.87 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New)net 416.41 you get 0.006081 sells 16 a week no buy orders
at a loss
MP7 | Impire
Factory New
735.01 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MP7 | Impire (Factory New)net 639.14 you get 0.005405 sells 38 a week sell now to a buy order: 731.52 ₽ (you get 636.10)) · buy orders: 5932
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