The Wildfire Collection
+ The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1743222 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+193 508.92₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».129 138.78₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.322 647.70₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+149.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.95%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 333 437.58₸
· profit at most −10 789.88₸
(at most -3.2%) · chance of profit at most 50%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) × 15% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1613185.92 → 28481.60 ₸
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 95% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.63115952.85 → 304956.00 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +10 207.65 ₸.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
продажа ненадёжнаmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1641
2× StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0056
1× StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1684
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1624
(0% of this wear's listings)
13 185.92 ₸
at 13 185.92
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162461f′ (normalized) 0.162461wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 28 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×9
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0743
(0% of this wear's listings)
115 952.85 ₸
at 12 883.65
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074334f′ (normalized) 0.059726wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs129 138.78 ₸
+193 508.92
(+149.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.050800, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −162 379 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×8
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0762
(0% of this wear's listings)
168 344.80 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076274f′ (normalized) 0.076274wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×1
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0762
(9% of this wear's listings)
12 883.65 ₸
at 12 883.65
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076274f′ (normalized) 0.067810wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 43 404.42 ₸
×1
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0762
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
21 884.05 ₸
at 21 884.05
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076274f′ (normalized) 0.021992wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 7 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs203 112.50 ₸
+149 450.00
(+73.6%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.044800, 0.070000, 0.050800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −10 747 ₸
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0761
(0% of this wear's listings)
63 129.30 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076165f′ (normalized) 0.076165wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×7
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0761
(9% of this wear's listings)
90 185.55 ₸
at 12 883.65
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076165f′ (normalized) 0.067357wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 43 404.42 ₸
Set · 10 pcs153 314.85 ₸
+177 879.96
(+116.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.050800, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −39 273 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0758
(0% of this wear's listings)
84 172.40 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075862f′ (normalized) 0.075862wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×6
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0758
(0% of this wear's listings)
77 301.90 ₸
at 12 883.65
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075862f′ (normalized) 0.066091wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs161 474.30 ₸
+173 994.02
(+107.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.050800, 0.070000, 0.044800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −67 800 ₸
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0754
(0% of this wear's listings)
105 215.50 ₸
at 21 043.10
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075483f′ (normalized) 0.075483wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×5
StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0754
(0% of this wear's listings)
64 418.25 ₸
at 12 883.65
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075483f′ (normalized) 0.064515wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs169 633.75 ₸
+170 108.13
(+100.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.044800, 0.070000, 0.050800«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar
Factory New
415 649.18 ₸45.00%
sell on CSFloat
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)net 407336.20you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 415 649.18 ₸listings 10 · you get 407 336.20 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 342 805.60 ₸
(you get 298 091.82)) · buy orders: 541
sell now to a buy order: 141 996.32 ₸
(you get 123 475.05)) · buy orders: 585
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector
Factory New
777 682.82 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)net 676245.93you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
52 869.28 ₸5.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New)net 45973.31you get 0.044800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 36 500.22 ₸
(you get 31 739.31)) · buy orders: 823
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+174 999.16 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+192 429.21 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
