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The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +26 978.86₴

Invest 31 532.23₴

Average return 58 511.09₴

ROI +85.6%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 75 905.20₴ · profit at most −17 394.11₴ (at most -22.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 13243.32 → 32710.99 ₴

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 18000.72 → 42571.70 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 288.20 → 622.50 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 790 ₴

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +2 236.37 ₴.

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+26 978.86 ₴ +85.6% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 72 971.26 ₴ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 790 ₴

5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
1× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 2 only The eSports 2013 Collection

+30 084.58 ₴ +88.8% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 72 971.26 ₴ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −6 401 ₴

6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+27 858.78 ₴ +92.2% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 72 971.26 ₴ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −4 978 ₴

6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
1× StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 4 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+1 461.10 ₴ +52.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Factory New) · 7 221.53 ₴ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −2 127 ₴

1× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1810
9× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0808

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

13 243.32 ₴

at 2 648.66

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

18 000.72 ₴

at 4 500.18

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

288.20 ₴

at 288.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 532.23 ₴ +26 978.86 (+85.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −11 322 ₴

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

2 648.66 ₴

at 2 648.66

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0609

9 000.36 ₴

at 4 500.18

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

1 152.79 ₴

at 288.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0609

6 767.48 ₴

at 2 255.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 569.29 ₴ +6 144.68 (+31.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −9 859 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

2 648.66 ₴

at 2 648.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

4 500.18 ₴

at 4 500.18

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 440.98 ₴

at 288.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

6 767.48 ₴

at 2 255.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 357.30 ₴ +4 890.47 (+31.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −10 248 ₴

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

4 500.18 ₴

at 4 500.18

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 729.18 ₴

at 288.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

6 767.48 ₴

at 2 255.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 996.84 ₴ +1 784.75 (+13.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −7 178 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

10 594.65 ₴

at 2 648.66

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

18 000.72 ₴

at 4 500.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

576.39 ₴

at 288.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 171.77 ₴ +23 873.13 (+81.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

56 105.41 ₴ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

83 916.94 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

8 584.70 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

8 304.76 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

6 025.93 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

19 935.44 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26 494.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26 749.49 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The eSports 2013 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1716186 · The Bravo Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 27 263.91₴ · invest 33 503.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 761 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1720175 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 26 411.85₴ · invest 31 544.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 725 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075550 instead of 0.074403; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060693 instead of 0.060550
Craft 1739407 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 26 407.49₴ · invest 31 773.15₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 971 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075108 instead of 0.074403; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060638 instead of 0.060550
Craft 1741311 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 26 336.28₴ · invest 31 328.40₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 530 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074631 instead of 0.074403; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060578 instead of 0.060550
Craft 1733705 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 26 316.82₴ · invest 31 411.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 602 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074881 instead of 0.074403; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060610 instead of 0.060550
Craft 1743141 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 26 209.26₴ · invest 31 715.63₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 973 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074953 instead of 0.074403; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060619 instead of 0.060550
Craft 1713127 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 26 059.80₴ · invest 31 766.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 909 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074416 instead of 0.074403; StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060552 instead of 0.060550

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build