Crafts · The Ancient Collection
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The Ancient Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 1743308 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +5 681.12₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 37 294.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 42 975.12₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +15.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%
From the outcome -1 593.18 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +7 274.30 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 108 152.60₽ · profit at most −65 177.48₽ (at most -60.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested) × 20 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 7109.20 → 20616.68 ₽
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) × 80 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 30184.80 → 87535.92 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −37 294 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −37 294 ₽: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New), P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New), MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -1 593.18 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
+5 681.12 ₽ +15.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −37 294 ₽ profit only from resale Outcome alone -1593, selling intermediates +7274. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1670
  • 8× Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1037
Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted
+857.71 ₽ +23.2% chance of profit 67%
expensive: MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) · 6 257.80 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 694 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1606
  • 8× Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1048
Variant 3 Restricted → Classified
+8 844.19 ₽ +32.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −26 857 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0815
  • 7× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0100

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 1 sell per day — buying will take 100 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×20
Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1670
7 109.20 ₽
at 355.46
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details2 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.167098f′ (normalized) 0.257074wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 40 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×80
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water
Minimal Wear
buy 0.1000–0.1037
30 184.80 ₽
at 377.31
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details8 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.103717f′ (normalized) 0.023231wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 4 075.51 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 37 294.00 ₽ +5 681.12 (+15.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
MAC-10 | Gold Brick
Factory New
7 196.47 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)+2 182.29 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0490
craft on
USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
4 433.14 ₽ 33%
Steam USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)fetches 3 854.90, no more than the replacement you get 0.0315
craft on
XM1014 | Ancient Lore
Factory New
4 075.51 ₽ 33%
Steam XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New)fetches 3 543.92, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Panthera onca
Factory New
52 111.88 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)net 45314.68 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 40 783.59 ₽ (you get 35 463.99)) · buy orders: 651 sell on Market.CSGO: 31 007.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 33 999.99 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 26 738.18 ₽ listings: 58 on Lis-Skins: from 27 365.20 ₽ listings: 70
at a loss
worst
P90 | Run and Hide
Factory New
30 000.00 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)net 26086.96 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 225.18 ₽ (you get 16 717.54)) · buy orders: 706 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 620.37 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 417.08 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 15 332.80 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 16 526.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 037.28 ₽ listings: 48
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