StatTrak™
Mil-Spec Grade → Covert
About the craftCraft 1743347 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+194 679.10₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».273 845.28₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.468 524.37₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+71.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.0%
From the outcome-127 077.50if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates+321 756.65money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 794 151.30₸
· profit at most −325 626.93₸
(at most -41.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) × 4005% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.9099158.15 → 287558.64 ₸
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 6005% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.90174687.13 → 506592.66 ₸
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Check:
⋯ More
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profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −193 545 ₸Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −193 545 ₸: StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New), StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)
!
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative:
-127 077.50 ₸.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
5% of lots fit≈ enough for 0chains · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 5% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 1000 pcs. but about 7 sell per day — buying will take 143 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.
×400
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0742
(4% of this wear's listings)
99 158.15 ₸
at 247.90
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details4 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074263f′ (normalized) 0.135025wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 82 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 570.00 ₸ · little data: 2.0 d.
×600
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1026
(0% of this wear's listings)
174 687.13 ₸
at 291.15
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details6 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.102664f′ (normalized) 0.026649wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 259 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert
Craft on only from StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 871.01 ₸.
Craft on only from StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 6 915.38 ₸.
Set · 1000 pcs273 845.28 ₸
+194 679.10
(+71.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.031500«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
2 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted
100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God
Factory New
4 281.68 ₸25%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Factory New)+2 852.17each above the replacementyou get 0.0315
sell
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
Factory New
3 020.63 ₸25%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New)+1 755.63each above the replacement
by lot · 1 sales per day
you get 0.0490
sell
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat
Factory New
8 157.71 ₸25%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New)+6 222.65each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix
Field-Tested
759.09 ₸25%
SteamStatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)fetches 660.09, no more than the replacementyou get 0.2570
2
Restricted → Classified
10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn
Factory New
22 442.44 ₸33%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)+12 599.78each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business
Field-Tested
6 406.25 ₸33%
SteamStatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)fetches 5 570.63, no more than the replacementyou get 0.1560
sell
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco
Field-Tested
11 056.19 ₸33%
SteamStatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)+2 698.68each above the replacementyou get 0.1525
3
Classified → Covert
1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Factory New
253 029.66 ₸50.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 220025.77you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 227 565.32 ₸
(you get 197 882.85)) · buy orders: 881
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
84 536.17 ₸50.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)net 73509.73you get 0.031500
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+180 429.65 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+190 388.55 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.