Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 1743375 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +803.53₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 744.60₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 548.13₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +29.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%
From the outcome +192.77 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +610.76 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 7 959.34₽ · profit at most −4 411.21₽ (at most -55.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) × 90 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 2020.50 → 5859.45 ₽
UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) × 10 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 724.10 → 2099.89 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
+803.53 ₽ +29.3% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) · 5 140.41 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 050.06 ₽ +55.6% chance of profit 67%
expensive: AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) · 5 140.41 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+3 106.65 ₽ +47.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 50%
float out of reach
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 4 Covert → нож или перчатки
+29 360.56 ₽ +27.7% chance of profit 64%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New) · 366 000.01 ₽ · chance 4.5%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 27% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 100 pcs. but about 28 sell per day — buying will take 4 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×90
M249 | Bock Blocks
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0770
2 020.50 ₽
at 22.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 801 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 92) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×10
UMP-45 | Fragment
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0062
724.10 ₽
at 72.41
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 456 · good ≈ 9
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 102 · from 507.95 ₽ (float 0.0019) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New), MP7 | Amberline (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 380.08 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 2 744.60 ₽ +803.53 (+29.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 3 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
Factory New
530.85 ₽ 20%
Steam Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)+81.53 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
Galil AR | Galigator
Factory New
340.95 ₽ 20%
Steam Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)fetches 296.48, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
M4A1-S | Electrum
Factory New
694.52 ₽ 20%
Steam M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)+223.85 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
MP7 | Amberline
Factory New
383.95 ₽ 20%
Steam MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)fetches 333.87, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Factory New
364.08 ₽ 20%
Steam MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)fetches 316.59, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Crane Flight
Factory New
5 911.47 ₽ 33.33%
Steam AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)net 5140.41 you get 0.070000 sells 52 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 933.24 ₽ (you get 4 289.77)) · buy orders: 1552 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 313.75 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 729.99 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 3 854.62 ₽ listings: 166 on CS.Money: ~ 4 487.63 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 4 100.45 ₽ listings: 156
at a loss
worst
P250 | Kintsugi
Factory New
1 976.03 ₽ 33.33%
Steam P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)net 1718.29 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 015.75 ₽ (you get 1 752.82)) · buy orders: 3615 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 618.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 774.33 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 1 537.56 ₽ listings: 88 on CS.Money: ~ 1 734.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 576.11 ₽ listings: 96
at a loss
P90 | Deathgaze
Factory New
2 246.42 ₽ 33.33%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)net 1953.41 you get 0.070000
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 192.66 ₽ (you get 1 906.66)) · buy orders: 1289 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 668.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 829.11 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 1 708.88 ₽ listings: 83 on CS.Money: ~ 1 845.08 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 662.62 ₽ listings: 99
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