Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Covert About the craft Craft 1743390 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +30 688.87₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 32 337.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 63 025.87₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +94.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -2 244.87 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +32 933.74 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 93 777.30₽ · profit at most −30 751.43₽ (at most -32.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) × 90 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 24956.10 → 72372.69 ₽
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) × 10 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 7380.90 → 21404.61 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −32 337 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −32 337 ₽: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New), StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New), StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -2 244.87 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Covert
+30 688.87 ₽ +94.9% chance of profit 0%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) · 31 878.15 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −32 337 ₽ profit only from resale Outcome alone -2245, selling intermediates +32934. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted
+536.93 ₽ +108.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New) · 1 908.43 ₽ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 9× StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Restricted → Classified
+3 195.34 ₽ +98.8% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) · 13 000.00 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 234 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 4 Classified → Covert
+526.45 ₽ +10.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) · 6 012.56 ₽ · chance 50%
rare inputs
  • 6× StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) buy 0.4500–0.5151
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1772

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 4 sell per day — buying will take 25 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×90
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0770
24 956.10 ₽
at 277.29
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 104 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×10
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0062
7 380.90 ₽
at 738.09
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 71 · good ≈ 10
on the market with this float, usually ~10, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 361.79 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
100
buy
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 3 278.20 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 32 337.00 ₽ +30 688.87 (+94.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight
Factory New
14 950.00 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)+9 721.80 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi
Factory New
3 952.00 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)+158.32 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze
Factory New
3 278.20 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)fetches 2 850.61, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
2

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 50%
  • About break-even 50%
about break-even
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit
Factory New
36 659.87 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)net 31878.15 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 30 828.19 ₽ (you get 26 807.12)) · buy orders: 351
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Factory New
32 552.03 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)net 28306.11 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 24 416.61 ₽ (you get 21 231.83)) · buy orders: 525 sell on Market.CSGO: 22 357.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 24 515.12 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 19 520.63 ₽ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 23 908.89 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 802.93 ₽ listings: 26
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