Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743397 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +6 695.39₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 15 086.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 21 781.39₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +44.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -6 882.24 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +13 577.63 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 43 749.40₽ · profit at most −21 968.01₽ (at most -50.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) × 400 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 5264.00 → 15265.60 ₽
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) × 600 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 9822.00 → 28483.80 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -6 882.24 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+6 695.39 ₽ +44.4% chance of profit 0%
expensive: StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) · 9 292.14 ₽ · chance 50%
profit only from resale sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
  • 4× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 6× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+665.01 ₽ +75.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) · 1 610.50 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+505.82 ₽ +8.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) · 7 115.37 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 8× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 1000 pcs needed, and about 75 sell per day — buying will take 14 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×400
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0746
5 264.00 ₽
at 13.16
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details4 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074695f′ (normalized) 0.106707wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 632 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×600
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0746
9 822.00 ₽
at 16.37
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details6 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074695f′ (normalized) 0.074695wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 767 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 83.11 ₽.

Craft on only from StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 750.00 ₽.

Set · 1000 pcs 15 086.00 ₽ +6 695.39 (+44.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.087500, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat
Factory New
175.95 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)+69.89 each above the replacement you get 0.0586
craft on
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade
Minimal Wear
82.16 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)fetches 71.44, no more than the replacement you get 0.0875
sell
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror
Factory New
394.06 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)+259.55 each above the replacement you get 0.0612
sell
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell
Factory New
477.03 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)+331.70 each above the replacement you get 0.0665
sell
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
Factory New
115.98 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)+17.74 each above the replacement you get 0.0437
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Minimal Wear
741.86 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear)fetches 645.10, no more than the replacement you get 0.0875
craft on
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement
Minimal Wear
761.56 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)fetches 662.23, no more than the replacement you get 0.0875
craft on
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Minimal Wear
689.60 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)fetches 599.65, no more than the replacement you get 0.0875
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish
Minimal Wear
8 182.68 ₽ 50.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear)net 7115.37 you get 0.087500 sells 80 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 913.61 ₽ (you get 6 011.83)) · buy orders: 1670 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 358.15 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 875.17 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 5 206.30 ₽ listings: 65 on CS.Money: ~ 5 803.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 419.59 ₽ listings: 109
at a loss
best
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector
Factory New
10 685.96 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New)net 9292.14 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 511.71 ₽ (you get 8 271.05)) · buy orders: 2364 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 508.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 329.47 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 7 280.94 ₽ listings: 36 on CS.Money: ~ 8 248.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 591.02 ₽ listings: 45
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