Crafts · The Fever Collection
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The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Covert About the craft Craft 1743422 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 833.21₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 9 351.82₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 13 185.04₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +41.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%
From the outcome +2 315.30 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1 517.91 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 27 120.29₴ · profit at most −13 935.25₴ (at most -51.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) × 90 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 7555.42 → 21910.70 ₴
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) × 10 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 1796.41 → 5209.58 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Covert
+3 833.21 ₴ +41.0% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 165.08 ₴ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+594.94 ₴ +63.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) · 1 765.38 ₴ · chance 33%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+5 260.25 ₴ +82.1% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New) · 19 165.08 ₴ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 7 sell per day — buying will take 15 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×90
StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0768
7 555.42 ₴
at 83.95
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076829f′ (normalized) 0.076829wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 111 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 237) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×10
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
1 796.41 ₴
at 179.64
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005975f′ (normalized) 0.008536wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 110 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 115 · from 687.18 ₴ (float 0.0005) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 440.98 ₴.

Set · 100 pcs 9 351.82 ₴ +3 833.21 (+41.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage
Factory New
1 807.75 ₴ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New)+130.98 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu
Factory New
2 030.19 ₴ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)+324.40 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
Factory New
1 440.98 ₴ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)fetches 1 253.03, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
2

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream
Factory New
22 039.84 ₴ 50.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Factory New)net 19165.08 you get 0.070000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 18 348.94 ₴ (you get 15 955.60)) · buy orders: 1670 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 348.60 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 17 926.10 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 13 695.11 ₴ listings: 65 on CS.Money: ~ 15 020.99 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 15 402.96 ₴ listings: 48
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Factory New
4 794.54 ₴ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)net 4169.17 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 260.54 ₴ (you get 3 704.81)) · buy orders: 1426 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 442.54 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 774.72 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 3 411.21 ₴ listings: 27 on CS.Money: ~ 3 678.72 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 659.42 ₴ listings: 38
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