Crafts · The Horizon Collection
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≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Covert About the craft Craft 1743478 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +297.18$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 562.88$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 860.06$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +52.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -341.89 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +639.07 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 632.36$ · profit at most −772.29$ (at most -47.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) × 40 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 48.50 → 140.65 $
AWP | PAW (Factory New) × 60 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 514.38 → 1491.71 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -341.89 $.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Covert
+297.18 $ +52.8% chance of profit 0%
expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) · 244.57 $ · chance 50%
profit only from resale sells slowly 100% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+28.77 $ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+86.25 $ +64.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) · 244.57 $ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0772
  • 3× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0063

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 100 pcs. but about 29 sell per day — buying will take 4 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×40
Nova | Toy Soldier
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
48.50 $
at 1.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details4 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.163068f′ (normalized) 0.163068wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 248 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 137.55 $
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 81) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×60
AWP | PAW
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
514.38 $
at 8.57
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details6 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.003977f′ (normalized) 0.007954wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 487 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~13, new ~0.2 per day, cheapest usually 31.29 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 259 · from 31.29 $ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 23.44 $.

Set · 100 pcs 562.88 $ +297.18 (+52.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
33.88 $ 33%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)+6.02 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
240.52 $ 33%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)+185.70 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
19.04 $ 33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)fetches 16.56, no more than the replacement you get 0.0560
2

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
AK-47 | Neon Rider
Factory New
281.26 $ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)net 244.57 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 263.22 $ (you get 228.89)) · buy orders: 827 sell on Market.CSGO: 200.61 $ to your card cheapest lot 219.97 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 200.95 $ listings: 139 on CS.Money: ~ 219.45 $ on Lis-Skins: from 214.30 $ listings: 124
at a loss
worst
Desert Eagle | Code Red
Factory New
227.02 $ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)net 197.40 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 203.50 $ (you get 176.95)) · buy orders: 779 sell on Market.CSGO: 159.69 $ to your card cheapest lot 175.10 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 152.00 $ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 173.67 $ on Lis-Skins: from 158.83 $ listings: 130
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