Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 1743548 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 427.21₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 066.50₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 493.71₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +69.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 67%
From the outcome +24.09 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1 403.12 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 992.85₽ · profit at most −2 499.14₽ (at most -41.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) × 90 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 1511.10 → 4382.19 ₽
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 10 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 555.40 → 1610.66 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
+1 427.21 ₽ +69.1% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) · 2 984.23 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+683.27 ₽ +48.6% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) · 2 984.23 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −41 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 6× StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+4 874.09 ₽ +56.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 16 sell per day — buying will take 7 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×90
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0768
1 511.10 ₽
at 16.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076829f′ (normalized) 0.076829wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 671 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 63) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×10
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
555.40 ₽
at 55.54
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005975f′ (normalized) 0.008536wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 239 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 92 · from 343.49 ₽ (float 0.0055) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 185.76 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 2 066.50 ₽ +1 427.21 (+69.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.053900, 0.049000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 3 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora
Factory New
617.65 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New)+351.33 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
185.76 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New)fetches 161.53, no more than the replacement you get 0.0455
sell
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush
Factory New
254.27 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New)+35.34 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
Factory New
513.99 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New)+261.19 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech
Factory New
275.38 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New)+53.70 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 67%
  • Losing outcome 33%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
3 431.86 ₽ 33.33%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 2984.23 you get 0.053900 sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 315.28 ₽ (you get 2 882.85)) · buy orders: 3592 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 813.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 085.34 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 2 478.09 ₽ listings: 173 on CS.Money: ~ 2 813.87 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 723.07 ₽ listings: 113
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
1 280.69 ₽ 33.33%
Steam StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New)net 1113.64 you get 0.049000 sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 280.40 ₽ (you get 1 113.39)) · buy orders: 4380 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 191.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 306.00 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 1 003.06 ₽ listings: 109 on CS.Money: ~ 1 070.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 100.71 ₽ listings: 84
in profit
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Factory New
2 500.00 ₽ 33.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)net 2173.91 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 363.82 ₽ (you get 2 055.49)) · buy orders: 1082 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 184.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 395.66 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 1 909.32 ₽ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 2 088.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 052.37 ₽ listings: 51
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