Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Covert About the craft Craft 1743554 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +891.60₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 8 535.40₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 9 427.00₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +10.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -1 593.22 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +2 484.82 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 24 752.66₽ · profit at most −15 325.66₽ (at most -61.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) × 70 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 4427.50 → 12839.75 ₽
M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 30 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 4107.90 → 11912.91 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -1 593.22 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Covert
+891.60 ₽ +10.4% chance of profit 0%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%
profit only from resale
  • 7× M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 3× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+1 343.14 ₽ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+40 665.86 ₽ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 226 666.49 ₽ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 100 pcs. but about 31 sell per day — buying will take 4 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×70
M249 | Downtown
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0747
4 427.50 ₽
at 63.25
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details7 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074705f′ (normalized) 0.114932wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 585 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×30
M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0041
4 107.90 ₽
at 136.93
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details3 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.004117f′ (normalized) 0.006334wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 015 · good ≈ 14
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 213.05 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
100
buy
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 573.29 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 8 535.40 ₽ +891.60 (+10.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
1 404.87 ₽ 33%
Steam AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)+648.34 each above the replacement you get 0.0634
sell
P250 | Visions
Factory New
770.96 ₽ 33%
Steam P250 | Visions (Factory New)+97.11 each above the replacement you get 0.0576
craft on
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
567.10 ₽ 33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)fetches 493.13, no more than the replacement you get 0.0824
2

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
worst
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
7 100.73 ₽ 50.00%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 6174.55 you get 0.057647 sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 133.54 ₽ (you get 6 203.07)) · buy orders: 2825 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 836.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 399.99 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 5 330.50 ₽ listings: 184 on CS.Money: ~ 5 700.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 676.56 ₽ listings: 176
at a loss
best
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
8 866.28 ₽ 50.00%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 7709.81 you get 0.070000 sells 33 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 742.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 489.95 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 7 423.13 ₽ listings: 245 on CS.Money: ~ 8 402.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 993.62 ₽ listings: 196
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