Crafts · The Shattered Web Collection
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The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743595 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +50 655.29₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 185 872.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 236 527.29₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +27.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -110 871.14 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +161 526.43 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 539 028.80₽ · profit at most −302 501.51₽ (at most -56.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) × 200 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 19200.00 → 55680.00 ₽
StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) × 800 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 166672.00 → 483348.80 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −185 872 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −185 872 ₽: StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New) and 3 more
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -110 871.14 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+50 655.29 ₽ +27.3% chance of profit 0%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 86 732.37 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −185 872 ₽ profit only from resale Outcome alone -110871, selling intermediates +161526. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 8× StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+8 633.86 ₽ +66.7% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) · 35 000.00 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 936 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 8× StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+43 702.10 ₽ +139.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 86 732.37 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −31 299 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 8× StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; input volume is unknown, and 1000 pcs are needed. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×200
StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1625
19 200.00 ₽
at 96.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details2 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.162545f′ (normalized) 0.187575wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 25 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 53 · from 193.59 ₽ (float 0.1613) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×800
StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
166 672.00 ₽
at 208.34
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details8 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074363f′ (normalized) 0.040605wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 11) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 396.30 ₽.

Craft on only from StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 3 449.00 ₽.

Set · 1000 pcs 185 872.00 ₽ +50 655.29 (+27.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod
Factory New
4 399.99 ₽ 20%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New)+2 429.78 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf
Factory New
1 396.30 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)fetches 1 214.17, no more than the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo
Factory New
2 332.50 ₽ 20%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo (Factory New)+631.96 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian
Factory New
2 405.81 ₽ 20%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Factory New)+695.71 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply
Factory New
2 200.00 ₽ 20%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply (Factory New)+516.74 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV
Factory New
10 249.21 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Factory New)+5 463.36 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot
Field-Tested
3 449.00 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)fetches 2 999.13, no more than the replacement you get 0.1722
sell
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator
Factory New
23 918.19 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)+17 349.43 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0525
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach
Factory New
99 742.23 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)net 86732.37 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 75 118.31 ₽ (you get 65 320.26)) · buy orders: 1834 sell on Market.CSGO: 73 537.16 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 80 632.86 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 55 078.17 ₽ listings: 16 on Lis-Skins: from 63 132.60 ₽ listings: 19
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
72 759.74 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)net 63269.34 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 319.70 ₽ (you get 27 234.52)) · buy orders: 3324 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 47 231.03 ₽ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 39 559.49 ₽ listings: 8
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