Crafts · The Snakebite Collection
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The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743601 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +8 902.04₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 16 967.45₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 25 869.49₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +52.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -12 304.79 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +21 206.83 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 49 205.59₴ · profit at most −23 336.10₴ (at most -47.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) × 900 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 14586.42 → 42300.61 ₴
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) × 100 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 2381.03 → 6904.98 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -12 304.79 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+8 902.04 ₴ +52.5% chance of profit 0%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 5 333.44 ₴ · chance 50%
profit only from resale sells slowly 100% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
  • 9× SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× Nova | Windblown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+1 072.25 ₴ +29.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 5 333.44 ₴ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+15 319.39 ₴ +58.8% chance of profit 67%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 118 771.85 ₴ · chance 4.2%
marketplace price sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0106

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 1000 pcs needed, and about 29 sell per day — buying will take 35 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×900
SG 553 | Heavy Metal
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0765
14 586.42 ₴
at 16.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076511f′ (normalized) 0.076511wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 260 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×100
Nova | Windblown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
2 381.03 ₴
at 23.81
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005697f′ (normalized) 0.011395wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 498 · good ≈ 9
Market history: no data yet
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from Negev | dev_texture (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 85.69 ₴.

Craft on only from XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 722.59 ₴.

Set · 1000 pcs 16 967.45 ₴ +8 902.04 (+52.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.055300, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
sell
AK-47 | Slate
Factory New
897.69 ₴ 20%
Steam AK-47 | Slate (Factory New)+694.90 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline
Factory New
301.47 ₴ 20%
Steam Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)+176.46 each above the replacement you get 0.0679
sell
MAC-10 | Button Masher
Factory New
179.23 ₴ 20%
Steam MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New)+70.16 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
Negev | dev_texture
Factory New
85.69 ₴ 20%
Steam Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)fetches 74.52, no more than the replacement you get 0.0455
sell
P250 | Cyber Shell
Factory New
185.32 ₴ 20%
Steam P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New)+75.45 each above the replacement you get 0.0595
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
1 121.36 ₴ 33%
price without deals
Steam Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)+252.51 each above the replacement
by lot · 2 sales per day
you get 0.0700
sell
MP9 | Food Chain
Factory New
839.85 ₴ 33%
Steam MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New)+7.72 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
XM1014 | XOXO
Factory New
722.59 ₴ 33%
Steam XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New)fetches 628.34, no more than the replacement you get 0.0630
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
worst
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
4 590.66 ₴ 50.00%
Steam M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)net 3991.88 you get 0.055300 sells 12 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 571.70 ₴ (you get 3 975.39)) · buy orders: 2060
at a loss
best
USP-S | The Traitor
Factory New
6 133.45 ₴ 50.00%
Steam USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)net 5333.44 you get 0.070000 sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 278.20 ₴ (you get 4 589.74)) · buy orders: 1851
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