Crafts · The Spectrum 2 Collection
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The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Covert About the craft Craft 1743609 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 338.11₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 15 083.60₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 19 421.71₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +28.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -3 817.81 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +8 155.92 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 43 742.44₽ · profit at most −24 320.73₽ (at most -55.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) × 90 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 12951.00 → 37557.90 ₽
UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) × 10 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 2132.60 → 6184.54 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -3 817.81 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Covert
+4 338.11 ₽ +28.8% chance of profit 0%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) · 11 479.04 ₽ · chance 50%
profit only from resale sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
  • 1× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 171.32 ₽ +66.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) · 3 681.36 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −549 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+4 910.23 ₽ +39.1% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) · 23 465.22 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 822 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 5× R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 9 sell per day — buying will take 12 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×90
XM1014 | Ziggy
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0788
12 951.00 ₽
at 143.90
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.078870f′ (normalized) 0.109542wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 80 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 321.08 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 46) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×10
UMP-45 | Exposure
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0077
2 132.60 ₽
at 213.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.007762f′ (normalized) 0.014112wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 206 · good ≈ 9
on the market with this float, usually ~9, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 912.47 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 142 · from 1 162.38 ₽ (float 0.0060) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 234.58 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 15 083.60 ₽ +4 338.11 (+28.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.099999900 result 0.100000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
craft on
PP-Bizon | High Roller
Minimal Wear
1 234.58 ₽ 33%
Steam PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear)fetches 1 073.55, no more than the replacement you get 0.1000
sell
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass
Factory New
4 233.56 ₽ 33%
Steam M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New)+2 446.78 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon
Minimal Wear
1 257.56 ₽ 33%
Steam R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)fetches 1 093.53, no more than the replacement you get 0.0970
2

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | The Empress
Minimal Wear
12 710.42 ₽ 50.00%
Steam AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear)net 11052.54 you get 0.100000 sells 67 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 540.85 ₽ (you get 10 035.52)) · buy orders: 3460 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 927.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 789.47 · lots 38 on CSFloat: from 8 274.57 ₽ listings: 170 on CS.Money: ~ 9 200.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 949.56 ₽ listings: 216
at a loss
best
P250 | See Ya Later
Factory New
13 200.90 ₽ 50.00%
Steam P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New)net 11479.04 you get 0.070000 sells 17 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 498.77 ₽ (you get 9 998.93)) · buy orders: 2028 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 120.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 000.00 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 8 865.62 ₽ listings: 51 on CS.Money: ~ 10 500.83 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 329.03 ₽ listings: 102
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