Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1743655 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +120.60₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 15 383.02₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 15 503.62₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +0.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 15%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 37 996.06₴ · profit at most −22 492.44₴ (at most -59.2%) · chance of profit at most 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 5 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 15383.02 → 37996.06 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 049 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 049 ₴: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) and 3 more
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 15.4% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 7.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -418.03 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Covert → нож или перчатки
+120.60 ₴ +0.8% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 70 259.06 ₴ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −13 049 ₴ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+865.69 ₴ +20.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 7 391.04 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 830 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0779
  • 4× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×5
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0067
15 383.02 ₴
at 3 076.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 61 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 12 086.17 ₴
Set · 5 pcs 15 383.02 ₴ +120.60 (+0.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 13 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 69%
  • Above the Steam cap 15%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
15 679.30 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 13634.17 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 410.08 ₴ (you get 12 530.51)) · buy orders: 609
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
10 242.97 ₴ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 8906.93 you get 0.013378 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 035.29 ₴ (you get 8 726.34)) · buy orders: 331
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
15 318.16 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 13320.14 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 592.86 ₴ (you get 8 341.62)) · buy orders: 169
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
12 927.92 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 11241.67 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 563.55 ₴ (you get 6 577.00)) · buy orders: 133
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
16 592.28 ₴ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 14428.07 you get 0.013513 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 16 720.48 ₴ (you get 14 539.55)) · buy orders: 173
at a loss
worst
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
7 145.14 ₴ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 7002.24 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 7 145.14 ₴ listings 3 · you get 7 002.24 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 5 279.20 ₴ (you get 4 590.61)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
15 754.77 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 13699.80 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
best
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
80 797.92 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 70259.06 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 24 451.89 ₴ (you get 21 262.51)) · buy orders: 46
in profit
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
29 035.73 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 25248.46 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 321.66 ₴ (you get 7 236.22)) · buy orders: 57
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
16 317.21 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 14188.88 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 111.59 ₴ (you get 6 183.99)) · buy orders: 85
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
11 060.27 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 9617.63
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 938.09 ₴ (you get 8 641.81)) · buy orders: 1036
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