The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +230.16₽

Invest 29 357.25₽

Average return 29 587.41₽

ROI +0.8%

Chance of profit 15%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 72 512.41₽ · profit at most −42 925.00₽ (at most -59.2%) · chance of profit at most 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 5 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 29357.25 → 72512.41 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −24 904 ₽

The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 15.4% of the probability.

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 7.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -797.78 ₽.

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → нож или перчатки

+230.16 ₽ +0.8% chance of profit 15%

expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 134 083.75 ₽ · chance 7.7%

profit on prices without salesat least −24 904 ₽

5× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

Variant 2 Classified → Covert

+1 652.09 ₽ +20.9% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 14 105.21 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −5 401 ₽

6× P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0779
4× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069

How to build

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

×5

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

29 357.25 ₽

at 5 871.45

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 29 357.25 ₽ +230.16 (+0.8%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 69%
Above the Steam cap 15%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

29 922.67 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

19 547.88 ₽ 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

29 233.48 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

24 671.89 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

31 665.02 ₽ 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

13 635.92 ₽ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

30 066.71 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

154 196.31 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

55 412.35 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

31 140.08 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

21 107.64 ₽ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -1 903.28 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week -285.44 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build