Knives and gloves · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1743671 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +40 665.86₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 38 260.50₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 78 926.36₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +106.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 71%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 94 503.43₽ · profit at most −15 577.08₽ (at most -16.5%) · chance of profit at most 25%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 5 14% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 38260.50 → 94503.44 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 10. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 41.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -8 552.02 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Covert → нож или перчатки
+40 665.86 ₽ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 226 666.49 ₽ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+1 343.14 ₽ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

14% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 14% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0094
38 260.50 ₽
at 7 652.10
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009459f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 117 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 21 617.52 ₽
Set · 5 pcs 38 260.50 ₽ +40 665.86 (+106.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 24 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 71%
  • Losing outcome 29%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Factory New
32 757.00 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)net 28484.35 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Factory New
83 971.20 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)net 73018.43 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 55 159.69 ₽ (you get 47 964.94)) · buy orders: 145
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Factory New
30 839.85 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)net 26817.26 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 25 187.33 ₽ (you get 21 902.02)) · buy orders: 92
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Factory New
29 554.24 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)net 25699.34 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 118.09 ₽ (you get 16 624.42)) · buy orders: 113
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
Factory New
86 731.42 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New)net 75418.63 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Factory New
95 593.46 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 83124.75 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 39 525.18 ₽ (you get 34 369.72)) · buy orders: 79
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
33 730.60 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 29330.96 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 713.37 ₽ (you get 15 402.93)) · buy orders: 164
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
91 518.75 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 79581.52 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 62 999.89 ₽ (you get 54 782.51)) · buy orders: 117
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
172 665.35 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 169212.04 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 172 665.35 ₽ listings 19 · you get 169 212.04 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 53
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
Factory New
85 578.25 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New)net 74415.87 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 35 380.84 ₽ (you get 30 765.94)) · buy orders: 107
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
48 802.86 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 47826.80 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 48 802.86 ₽ listings 16 · you get 47 826.80 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 68 143.50 ₽ (you get 59 255.21)) · buy orders: 142
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
97 650.26 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 95697.25 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 97 650.26 ₽ listings 9 · you get 95 697.25 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
85 000.00 ₽ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 80750.00 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 85 000.00 ₽ listings 5 · you get 80 750.00 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 76 834.76 ₽ (you get 66 812.83)) · buy orders: 63
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
126 482.78 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 123953.12 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 126 482.78 ₽ listings 6 · you get 123 953.12 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 27
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
Factory New
85 000.00 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)net 73913.04 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 56 430.53 ₽ (you get 49 070.02)) · buy orders: 70
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
99 999.00 ₽ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 94999.05 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 99 999.00 ₽ listings 7 · you get 94 999.05 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 105 112.66 ₽ (you get 91 402.31)) · buy orders: 47
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
80 229.96 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 78625.36 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 80 229.96 ₽ listings 10 · you get 78 625.36 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 106 738.26 ₽ (you get 92 815.87)) · buy orders: 74
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
54 731.26 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 53636.63 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 54 731.26 ₽ listings 5 · you get 53 636.63 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 81 108.19 ₽ (you get 70 528.86)) · buy orders: 89
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
231 292.34 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 226666.49 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 231 292.34 ₽ listings 14 · you get 226 666.49 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 94
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
214 145.30 ₽ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 209862.39 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 214 145.30 ₽ listings 3 · you get 209 862.39 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 78
at a loss
worst
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
16 474.48 ₽ 4.17%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 14325.63 you get 0.070000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 996.70 ₽ (you get 13 040.60)) · buy orders: 127
in profit
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
Factory New
84 562.89 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New)net 73532.95 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 50 501.85 ₽ (you get 43 914.65)) · buy orders: 166
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
Factory New
26 151.00 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)net 22740.00 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 824.24 ₽ (you get 18 977.60)) · buy orders: 148
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
Factory New
37 490.89 ₽ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Factory New)net 32600.77 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 30 046.94 ₽ (you get 26 127.77)) · buy orders: 121
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