Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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to all knife crafts

The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1743955 · ways to build: 3 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −27 726.78₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 171 774.72₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 144 047.94₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −16.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 15%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 396 427.32₸ · profit at most −252 379.38₸ (at most -63.7%) · chance of profit at most 6%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 123872.79 → 292959.15 ₸
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 47901.93 → 103468.17 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 12.3% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 2. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 6.9% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -33 715.30 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection
−27 726.80 ₸ −16.1% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 707 207.27 ₸ · chance 6.2%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 70% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 1× FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection
+676 410.48 ₸ +90.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 12 972 772.51 ₸ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+647 469.75 ₸ +84.4% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 12 972 772.51 ₸ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 32% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Fever Collection
+316 531.79 ₸ +28.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 12 972 772.51 ₸ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+287 591.06 ₸ +25.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 12 972 772.51 ₸ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 32% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection
−1 532.77 ₸ −0.9% chance of profit 21%
expensive: ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 2 076 232.43 ₸ · chance 0.3%
at a loss, a chance at an expensive one no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 72% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
  • 1× P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
123 872.79 ₸
at 30 968.20
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 61 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 121 655.82 ₸
×1
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
47 901.93 ₸
at 47 901.93
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 51 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 157 619.74 ₸ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 5 pcs 171 774.72 ₸ -27 726.78 (-16.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 41 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 73%
  • Above the Steam cap 12%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
157 823.22 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 137237.57 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 145 047.70 ₸ (you get 126 128.43)) · buy orders: 609
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
103 102.75 ₸ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 89654.58 you get 0.013378 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 101 012.36 ₸ (you get 87 836.82)) · buy orders: 331
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
154 188.18 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 134076.69 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 96 558.94 ₸ (you get 83 964.27)) · buy orders: 169
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
130 128.67 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 113155.38 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 76 132.52 ₸ (you get 66 202.15)) · buy orders: 133
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
167 013.02 ₸ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 145228.72 you get 0.013513 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 168 303.50 ₸ (you get 146 350.84)) · buy orders: 173
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
71 920.88 ₸ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 70482.46 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 71 920.88 ₸ listings 3 · you get 70 482.46 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 53 138.91 ₸ (you get 46 207.70)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
158 582.94 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 137898.24 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
best
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
813 288.35 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 707207.27 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 246 125.61 ₸ (you get 214 022.27)) · buy orders: 46
in profit
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
292 265.22 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 254143.66 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 83 763.43 ₸ (you get 72 837.73)) · buy orders: 57
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
164 244.30 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 142821.12 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 71 583.22 ₸ (you get 62 246.27)) · buy orders: 85
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
111 329.50 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 96808.26
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 100 033.91 ₸ (you get 86 985.96)) · buy orders: 1036
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Doppler
Factory New
112 340.91 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 97687.76 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 94 223.77 ₸ (you get 81 933.69)) · buy orders: 2181
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
72 242.09 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 62819.22 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 94 a week sell now to a buy order: 63 811.12 ₸ (you get 55 487.90)) · buy orders: 595
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
59 252.59 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 51524.00 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 92 a week sell now to a buy order: 51 489.66 ₸ (you get 44 773.60)) · buy orders: 514
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
35 730.43 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 31069.94 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 35 789.08 ₸ (you get 31 120.89)) · buy orders: 223
at a loss
worst
★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
24 609.42 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 21399.49 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 23 129.75 ₸ (you get 20 112.81)) · buy orders: 118
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
98 566.42 ₸ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 85709.93 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 71 139.38 ₸ (you get 61 860.29)) · buy orders: 70
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler
Factory New
103 468.21 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 89972.36 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 34 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
71 387.86 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 62076.38 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 89 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
54 219.15 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 47147.06 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 75 a week sell now to a buy order: 56 124.73 ₸ (you get 48 804.06)) · buy orders: 1459
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
37 189.84 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 32339.01 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection sells 19 a week sell now to a buy order: 36 873.44 ₸ (you get 32 063.84)) · buy orders: 122
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
24 823.35 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 21585.52 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 728.57 ₸ (you get 21 503.08)) · buy orders: 107
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
185 025.79 ₸ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 160892.01 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler
Factory New
210 053.99 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 182655.64 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 195 543.78 ₸ (you get 170 038.03)) · buy orders: 675
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
138 072.03 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 120062.64 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 42 a week sell now to a buy order: 120 435.12 ₸ (you get 104 726.14)) · buy orders: 1450
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
108 630.97 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 94461.69 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 44 a week sell now to a buy order: 100 593.78 ₸ (you get 87 472.84)) · buy orders: 483
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
85 431.87 ₸ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 74288.60 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 79 350.31 ₸ (you get 69 000.25)) · buy orders: 190
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
61 809.18 ₸ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 53747.09 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 53 865.19 ₸ (you get 46 839.25)) · buy orders: 94
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
155 879.99 ₸ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 135547.82 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 127 894.55 ₸ (you get 111 212.62)) · buy orders: 87
in profit
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler
Factory New
343 979.78 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 299112.83 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 17 a week sell now to a buy order: 322 076.59 ₸ (you get 280 066.55)) · buy orders: 841
in profit
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
220 949.52 ₸ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 192129.99 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
168 210.36 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 146269.88 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 31 a week sell now to a buy order: 168 681.78 ₸ (you get 146 679.80)) · buy orders: 531
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
111 700.50 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 97130.84 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection sells 10 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
90 602.23 ₸ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 78784.53 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 70 957.84 ₸ (you get 61 702.43)) · buy orders: 101
in profit
★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
235 871.87 ₸ 0.71%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 231154.42 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 235 871.87 ₸ listings 4 · you get 231 154.42 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 203 951.39 ₸ (you get 177 348.99)) · buy orders: 86
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife
no wear
26 899.23 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knifenet 23390.62The Fever Collection sells 155 a week sell now to a buy order: 25 656.59 ₸ (you get 22 310.06)) · buy orders: 1076
at a loss
★ Survival Knife
no wear
28 335.50 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knifenet 24639.59The Fever Collection sells 205 a week sell now to a buy order: 27 477.30 ₸ (you get 23 893.26)) · buy orders: 1092
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife
no wear
75 121.69 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knifenet 65323.23The Fever Collection sells 55 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife
no wear
121 481.76 ₸ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knifenet 105636.29The Fever Collection sells 38 a week no buy orders
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work