Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1743983 · ways to build: 3 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −3 354.59₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 32 340.80₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 28 986.21₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −10.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 17%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 74 670.72₽ · profit at most −45 684.51₽ (at most -61.2%) · chance of profit at most 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 23485.80 → 55543.92 ₽
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 8855.00 → 19126.80 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 12.3% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 3. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 7.6% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -4 866.49 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection
−3 354.59 ₽ −10.4% chance of profit 17%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 134 083.75 ₽ · chance 6.2%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 71% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection
+128 244.80 ₽ +90.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+124 660.05 ₽ +85.9% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 33% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Prisma Collection
+60 013.20 ₽ +28.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+56 428.45 ₽ +26.4% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 33% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection
−290.61 ₽ −0.9% chance of profit 21%
expensive: ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 393 645.60 ₽ · chance 0.3%
at a loss, a chance at an expensive one no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 72% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
  • 1× P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0071
23 485.80 ₽
at 5 871.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007166f′ (normalized) 0.014332wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 61 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 23 065.47 ₽
×1
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0071
8 855.00 ₽
at 8 855.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007166f′ (normalized) 0.010237wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 23 000.00 ₽
Set · 5 pcs 32 340.80 ₽ -3 354.59 (-10.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 41 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 17%
  • Losing outcome 70%
  • About break-even 1%
  • Above the Steam cap 12%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
29 922.67 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 26019.71 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 500.48 ₽ (you get 23 913.46)) · buy orders: 609
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
19 547.88 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 16998.16 you get 0.013378 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 151.55 ₽ (you get 16 653.52)) · buy orders: 331
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
29 233.48 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 25420.42 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 307.20 ₽ (you get 15 919.30)) · buy orders: 169
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
24 671.89 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 21453.82 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 434.43 ₽ (you get 12 551.67)) · buy orders: 133
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
31 665.02 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 27534.80 you get 0.013513 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 31 909.69 ₽ (you get 27 747.55)) · buy orders: 173
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
13 635.92 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 13363.20 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 13 635.92 ₽ listings 3 · you get 13 363.20 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 10 074.93 ₽ (you get 8 760.80)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
30 066.71 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 26144.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
best
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
154 196.31 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 134083.75 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 46 664.46 ₽ (you get 40 577.79)) · buy orders: 46
in profit
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
55 412.35 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 48184.65 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 881.22 ₽ (you get 13 809.75)) · buy orders: 57
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
31 140.08 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 27078.33 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 571.90 ₽ (you get 11 801.65)) · buy orders: 85
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
21 107.64 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 18354.47
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 966.04 ₽ (you get 16 492.20)) · buy orders: 1036
at a loss
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler
Factory New
11 082.42 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 9636.89 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 319.96 ₽ (you get 9 843.44)) · buy orders: 2455
at a loss
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
9 259.54 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 8051.77 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 84 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 328.84 ₽ (you get 7 242.46)) · buy orders: 775
at a loss
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
7 496.59 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 6518.77 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 95 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 599.01 ₽ (you get 5 738.26)) · buy orders: 817
at a loss
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
5 210.98 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 4531.29 you get 0.006757The Prisma Collection sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 192.38 ₽ (you get 4 515.11)) · buy orders: 319
at a loss
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
5 783.94 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 5029.51 you get 0.408108The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 146.25 ₽ (you get 3 605.43)) · buy orders: 443
at a loss
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
16 999.00 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 14781.74 you get 0.070000The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 035.28 ₽ (you get 6 987.20)) · buy orders: 127
in profit
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler
Factory New
55 894.21 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 48603.66 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 12 a week sell now to a buy order: 48 102.65 ₽ (you get 41 828.39)) · buy orders: 1072
at a loss
★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
34 693.72 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 30168.45 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 33 a week sell now to a buy order: 29 805.01 ₽ (you get 25 917.40)) · buy orders: 601
at a loss
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
30 405.50 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 26439.57 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 27 a week sell now to a buy order: 27 745.27 ₽ (you get 24 126.32)) · buy orders: 631
at a loss
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
25 700.36 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 22348.14 you get 0.006757The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 659.54 ₽ (you get 17 964.81)) · buy orders: 191
at a loss
★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
15 300.00 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 13304.35 you get 0.408108The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 571.17 ₽ (you get 12 670.58)) · buy orders: 147
in profit
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
118 704.43 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 103221.24 you get 0.070000The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 43 709.68 ₽ (you get 38 008.41)) · buy orders: 90
at a loss
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler
Factory New
23 866.92 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 20753.84 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 23 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
17 133.57 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 14898.76 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 38 a week sell now to a buy order: 15 208.02 ₽ (you get 13 224.36)) · buy orders: 580
at a loss
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
14 364.72 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 12491.06 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 39 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 361.53 ₽ (you get 11 618.72)) · buy orders: 533
at a loss
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
11 082.47 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 9636.93 you get 0.006757The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 435.21 ₽ (you get 8 204.53)) · buy orders: 190
at a loss
★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
6 760.30 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 5878.52 you get 0.408108The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 740.30 ₽ (you get 4 991.56)) · buy orders: 152
about break-even
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
32 120.94 ₽ 0.71%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 31478.52 you get 0.070000The Prisma Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 32 120.94 ₽ listings 5 · you get 31 478.52 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
in profit
★ Talon Knife | Doppler
Factory New
88 662.69 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 77097.99 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 84 106.00 ₽ (you get 73 135.65)) · buy orders: 1922
in profit
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
59 750.03 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 51956.55 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 57 814.21 ₽ (you get 50 273.22)) · buy orders: 1260
in profit
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
48 185.48 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 41900.42 you get 0.001081The Prisma Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 47 155.97 ₽ (you get 41 005.19)) · buy orders: 938
about break-even
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
38 742.09 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 33688.77 you get 0.006757The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
32 748.70 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 28477.13 you get 0.408108The Prisma Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 874.70 ₽ (you get 18 151.91)) · buy orders: 153
in profit
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
66 385.04 ₽ 0.71%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 65057.33 you get 0.070000The Prisma Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 66 385.04 ₽ listings 4 · you get 65 057.33 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 63 764.88 ₽ (you get 55 447.72)) · buy orders: 113
at a loss
★ Ursus Knife
no wear
7 881.31 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Ursus Knifenet 6853.31The Prisma Collection sells 54 a week no buy orders
at a loss
worst
★ Navaja Knife
no wear
3 919.52 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Navaja Knifenet 3408.28The Prisma Collection sells 151 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 841.21 ₽ (you get 3 340.18)) · buy orders: 2582
at a loss
★ Stiletto Knife
no wear
20 687.97 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Stiletto Knifenet 17989.54The Prisma Collection sells 41 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Talon Knife
no wear
34 588.88 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Talon Knifenet 30077.29The Prisma Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 32 939.56 ₽ (you get 28 643.09)) · buy orders: 1906
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work