The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +32.98$

Invest 219.02$

Average return 252.00$

ROI +15.1%

Chance of profit 33%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 509.35$ · profit at most −257.35$ (at most -50.5%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 42.13 → 91.01 $

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) × 4 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 176.89 → 418.35 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −168 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection

+32.98 $ +15.1% chance of profit 33%

expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear) · 939.21 $ · chance 3.3%

profit on prices without salesat least −168 $

1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788
4× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0788

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

+1 591.58 $ +94.7% chance of profit 32%

expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%

no outcome price

1× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071

Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+1 497.17 $ +90.2% chance of profit 30%

expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%

no outcome price

1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

+795.02 $ +32.1% chance of profit 21%

expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%

no outcome price

1× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124
4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124

Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

+700.61 $ +28.5% chance of profit 20%

expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%

no outcome price

1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112

Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

−3.39 $ −0.9% chance of profit 21%

expensive: ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 4 595.54 $ · chance 0.3%

at a loss, a chance at an expensive one no outcome price

4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
1× P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069

How to build

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

42.13 $

at 42.13

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

176.89 $

at 44.22

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 219.02 $ +32.98 (+15.1%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 59%
About break-even 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Minimal Wear

106.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Minimal Wear

213.40 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Minimal Wear

101.47 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Minimal Wear

130.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Minimal Wear

249.83 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Minimal Wear

206.10 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Minimal Wear

104.19 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Minimal Wear

240.87 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Minimal Wear

789.84 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Minimal Wear

133.54 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Minimal Wear

163.35 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

336.48 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Minimal Wear

339.63 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

553.36 $ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Minimal Wear

235.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Minimal Wear

455.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Minimal Wear

418.04 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Minimal Wear

270.27 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Minimal Wear

1 068.60 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Minimal Wear

1 080.09 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Minimal Wear

70.06 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Minimal Wear

162.00 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Minimal Wear

93.40 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Minimal Wear

101.12 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

349.33 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

228.21 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

170.02 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

141.50 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

204.77 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

92.70 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

107.02 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

281.25 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

122.54 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

83.14 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

149.51 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

146.26 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife

no wear

246.42 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -4.83 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.95 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1744855 · The Recoil Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 33.52$ · invest 232.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −175 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.078828
Craft 1744857 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 33.52$ · invest 232.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −175 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.078828
Craft 1743985 · The Recoil Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 32.98$ · invest 219.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −168 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 1744595 · The Recoil Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 32.27$ · invest 217.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.078828
Craft 1744597 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 32.27$ · invest 217.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.078828
Craft 1745173 · The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 31.13$ · invest 214.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −162 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083568 instead of 0.078828
Craft 1745175 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 31.13$ · invest 214.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −162 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083568 instead of 0.078828
Craft 1744899 · The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 30.68$ · invest 221.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −167 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085135 instead of 0.078828
Craft 1744901 · The Huntsman Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 30.68$ · invest 221.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −167 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085135 instead of 0.078828

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build