Knives and gloves · The Fever Collection
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The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1747732 · ways to build: 3 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −6 673.17₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 647.53₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 14 974.36₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −30.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 19%

If buying now (with float)

invest 23 028.37₽ · profit −8 054.01₽ (-35.0%) · chance of profit 15%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn) × 3 79% of the wear window fits ×1.08 13621.53 → 14649.96 ₽
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 2 79% of the wear window fits ×1.04 8026.00 → 8378.34 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 3 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 9.2% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 3.1% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -7 336.55 ₽.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

79% of lots fit collecting: no data
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip
Well-Worn
buy 0.3800–0.4354
13 621.53 ₽
at 4 540.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.435450f′ (normalized) 0.435450wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 30
Market history: no data yet
×2
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.3321
8 026.00 ₽
at 4 013.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.332195f′ (normalized) 0.664391wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 17 · good ≈ 10
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs 21 647.53 ₽ -6 673.17 (-30.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.527026927 result 0.042162, 0.141757, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 41 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 17%
  • Losing outcome 69%
  • About break-even 5%
  • Above the Steam cap 9%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
44 900.00 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 39043.48 you get 0.042162The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 991.98 ₽ (you get 24 340.85)) · buy orders: 303
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
21 850.00 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 19000.00 you get 0.141757The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 529.77 ₽ (you get 15 243.27)) · buy orders: 138
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
13 661.00 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 11879.13 you get 0.527027The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 363.21 ₽ (you get 10 750.61)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
10 554.73 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 9178.03 you get 0.527027The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 978.71 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
17 000.00 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 14782.61 you get 0.527027The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 21 409.12 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 17 005.75 ₽ (you get 14 787.60)) · buy orders: 105
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
9 377.56 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 8154.40 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 997.98 ₽ (you get 6 954.76)) · buy orders: 96
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
10 777.00 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 9371.30 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 11 362.81 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
22 000.00 ₽ 3.08%
sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 21560.00 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 22 000.00 ₽ listings 7 · you get 21 560.00 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and patternlisted at 22 224.86 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 964.74 ₽ (you get 7 795.42)) · buy orders: 100
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 8 588.94 ₽ (you get 7 468.64)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
6 811.07 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 5922.67 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 243.27 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 10 773.94 ₽ (you get 9 368.64)) · buy orders: 67
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 10 659.20 ₽ (you get 9 268.86)) · buy orders: 58
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife
no wear
30 282.27 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 26332.41The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 29 880.56 ₽ (you get 25 983.09)) · buy orders: 419
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Doppler
Factory New
23 611.20 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 20531.48 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 128.10 ₽ (you get 18 372.26)) · buy orders: 201
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
13 461.32 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 11705.50 you get 0.042162 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 591.98 ₽ (you get 11 819.11)) · buy orders: 127
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
10 279.74 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 8938.90 you get 0.042162 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 825.58 ₽ (you get 9 413.54)) · buy orders: 149
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
6 254.30 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 5438.52 you get 0.263513 sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 748.91 ₽ (you get 4 999.05)) · buy orders: 82
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
4 524.37 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 3934.23 you get 0.716216 sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 514.40 ₽ (you get 3 925.56)) · buy orders: 188
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
6 558.48 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 5703.03 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 137.26 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 320.97 ₽ (you get 6 366.06)) · buy orders: 66
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler
Factory New
23 578.30 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 20502.87 you get 0.042162 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 23 053.97 ₽ (you get 20 046.93)) · buy orders: 184
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
13 854.52 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 12047.41 you get 0.042162 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 807.36 ₽ (you get 12 875.96)) · buy orders: 161
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
13 800.00 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 12000.00 you get 0.042162
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 288.40 ₽ (you get 9 816.00)) · buy orders: 144
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
6 854.61 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 5960.53 you get 0.263513 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 061.60 ₽ (you get 5 270.95)) · buy orders: 108
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
5 223.88 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 4542.50 you get 0.716216
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 964.79 ₽ (you get 4 317.20)) · buy orders: 144
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
5 809.94 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 5052.12 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 310.65 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 877.27 ₽ (you get 5 980.23)) · buy orders: 60
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Doppler
Factory New
46 000.00 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 40000.00 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 39 694.44 ₽ (you get 34 516.90)) · buy orders: 212
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
26 300.00 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 22869.57 you get 0.042162
by lot · 2 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
18 846.19 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 16387.99 you get 0.042162 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 063.58 ₽ (you get 16 577.02)) · buy orders: 138
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
15 447.91 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 13432.97 you get 0.263513
by lot · 2 sales per day
listed at 16 898.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 13 369.18 ₽ (you get 11 625.37)) · buy orders: 87
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
9 057.31 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 7875.92 you get 0.716216 sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 028.81 ₽ (you get 7 851.13)) · buy orders: 113
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
11 422.51 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 9932.62 you get 0.450000
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 11 538.36 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler
Factory New
77 097.18 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 67041.03 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 64 662.79 ₽ (you get 56 228.51)) · buy orders: 347
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
43 042.12 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 37427.93 you get 0.042162 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 41 729.31 ₽ (you get 36 286.35)) · buy orders: 178
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
35 294.94 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 30691.25 you get 0.042162 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 32 848.72 ₽ (you get 28 564.10)) · buy orders: 180
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
23 273.18 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 20237.55 you get 0.263513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 763.55 ₽ (you get 17 185.69)) · buy orders: 1101
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
15 396.86 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 13388.57 you get 0.716216
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 288.85 ₽ (you get 11 555.52)) · buy orders: 119
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
25 121.11 ₽ 2.14%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 21844.44 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 26 503.13 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 18 452.54 ₽ (you get 16 045.68)) · buy orders: 71
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife
no wear
6 854.06 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knifenet 5960.05 sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 977.45 ₽ (you get 5 197.78)) · buy orders: 231
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife
no wear
6 070.31 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knifenet 5278.53 sells 10 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife
no wear
14 234.87 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knifenet 12378.15 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 397.86 ₽ (you get 11 650.31)) · buy orders: 218
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife
no wear
23 523.34 ₽ 2.14%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knifenet 20455.08 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 23 442.20 ₽ (you get 20 384.52)) · buy orders: 318
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work