Knives and gloves · The Kilowatt Collection
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The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1747815 · ways to build: 3 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −7 164.30₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 18 810.40₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 11 646.10₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −38.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 25%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 43 921.12₽ · profit at most −32 275.02₽ (at most -73.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) × 1 25% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2758.40 → 5958.14 ₽
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 4 25% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 16052.00 → 37962.98 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 3 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 18.5% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 6.2% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -8 491.07 ₽.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

25% of lots fit collecting: no data
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon
Battle-Scarred
buy 0.4500–0.5880
2 758.40 ₽
at 2 758.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.588075f′ (normalized) 0.588075wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 30
Market history: no data yet
×4
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2077
16 052.00 ₽
at 4 013.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.207740f′ (normalized) 0.415481wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 17 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs 18 810.40 ₽ -7 164.30 (-38.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.449999900 result 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000, 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 18%
  • Losing outcome 57%
  • About break-even 6%
  • Above the Steam cap 18%
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
44 900.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 39043.48 you get 0.036000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 991.98 ₽ (you get 24 340.85)) · buy orders: 303
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
21 850.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 19000.00 you get 0.122500The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 529.77 ₽ (you get 15 243.27)) · buy orders: 138
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 198.01 ₽ (you get 11 476.53)) · buy orders: 111
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
10 554.73 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 9178.03 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 12 943.03 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 281.26 ₽ (you get 8 070.66)) · buy orders: 92
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 19 886.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 16 147.05 ₽ (you get 14 040.91)) · buy orders: 131
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
9 377.56 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 8154.40 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 997.98 ₽ (you get 6 954.76)) · buy orders: 96
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
10 777.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 9371.30 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 11 362.81 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
22 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 21560.00 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 22 000.00 ₽ listings 7 · you get 21 560.00 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and patternlisted at 22 224.86 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 964.74 ₽ (you get 7 795.42)) · buy orders: 100
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 8 588.94 ₽ (you get 7 468.64)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
6 811.07 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 5922.67 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 243.27 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 10 773.94 ₽ (you get 9 368.64)) · buy orders: 67
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 10 659.20 ₽ (you get 9 268.86)) · buy orders: 58
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife
no wear
30 282.27 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 26332.41The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 29 880.56 ₽ (you get 25 983.09)) · buy orders: 419
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade
Factory New
18 746.63 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 16301.42 you get 0.036000 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 18 058.57 ₽ (you get 15 703.10)) · buy orders: 267
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
13 241.16 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 11514.05 you get 0.122500 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 12 774.40 ₽ (you get 11 108.17)) · buy orders: 236
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
8 600.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 7478.26 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 920.53 ₽ (you get 6 887.41)) · buy orders: 270
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
6 597.98 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 5737.37 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 016.66 ₽ (you get 5 231.87)) · buy orders: 203
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
1 719.29 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 1495.03 you get 0.450000
by lot · 2 sales per day
listed at 9 499.34 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 024.76 ₽ (you get 6 978.05)) · buy orders: 199
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
4 236.11 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 3683.57 you get 0.393000 sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 357.58 ₽ (you get 3 789.20)) · buy orders: 197
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
4 328.80 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 3764.17 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 258.13 ₽ (you get 3 702.72)) · buy orders: 84
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
10 023.81 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 8716.36 you get 0.393000
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 10 538.05 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 737.16 ₽ (you get 7 597.53)) · buy orders: 210
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
4 685.00 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 4073.91 you get 0.393000 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 340.37 ₽ (you get 3 774.23)) · buy orders: 103
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
4 051.08 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 3522.68 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 540.51 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
5 036.22 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 4379.32 you get 0.393000
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 5 618.74 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 136.92 ₽ (you get 4 466.88)) · buy orders: 176
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
5 450.89 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 4739.90 you get 0.393000
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 5 514.23 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife
no wear
10 442.43 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knifenet 9080.37 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 723.99 ₽ (you get 8 455.64)) · buy orders: 304
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work