The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −4 443.44₴

Invest 9 869.11₴

Average return 5 425.67₴

ROI −45.0%

Chance of profit 12%

If buying now (with float)

invest 9 911.23₴ · profit −4 485.56₴ (-45.3%) · chance of profit 12%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 2 100% of the wear window fits ×1.00 4205.57 → 4226.60 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear window fits ×1.00 4218.15 → 4239.24 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear window fits ×1.00 1445.38 → 1445.38 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.2% of the probability.

No other variants in this recount

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (by listings)

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

any lot

4 205.57 ₴

at 2 102.79

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

4 218.15 ₴

at 2 109.08

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Battle-Scarred

any lot

1 445.38 ₴

at 1 445.38

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 9 869.11 ₴ -4 443.44 (-45.0%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 6%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 12%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

11 003.87 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

7 158.28 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

5 530.61 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

8 907.90 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

4 371.17 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

5 257.59 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

11 527.87 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

4 343.78 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

3 568.96 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

6 263.82 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

5 226.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

15 867.72 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

9 823.12 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

6 938.29 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

3 975.70 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

3 225.71 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

900.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

2 219.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

2 268.26 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

4 715.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

2 340.14 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

2 122.74 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

2 638.95 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

2 815.77 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

5 471.77 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -5 339.13 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week -4 757.77 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1747744 · The Fracture Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit -4 066.25₴ · invest 10 128.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 1747749 · The CS20 Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit -4 066.25₴ · invest 10 128.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 1747854 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit -4 367.94₴ · invest 11 454.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 1747859 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit -4 367.94₴ · invest 11 454.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 1747817 · The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit -4 443.44₴ · invest 9 869.11₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

If buying now (with float)

No other variants in this recount

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build