Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
₸≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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to all knife crafts

The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1747939 · ways to build: 4 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −37 586.79₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 102 223.61₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 64 636.82₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −36.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 17%

If buying now (with float)

invest 146 789.30₸ · profit −82 152.48₸ (-56.0%) · chance of profit 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 53% of the wear window fits ×1.47 81057.57 → 118797.97 ₸
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 1 53% of the wear window fits ×1.32 21166.05 → 27989.98 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 4 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 10.8% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 1.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -39 336.25 ₸.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

53% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2727
81 057.57 ₸
at 20 264.39
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.272727f′ (normalized) 0.426136wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 38 of 45 · from 17 547.62 ₸ (float 0.2718) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2727
21 166.05 ₸
at 21 166.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.272727f′ (normalized) 0.545454wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 17 · good ≈ 3
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 52 of 64 · from 15 107.96 ₸ (float 0.1625) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 102 223.61 ₸ -37 586.79 (-36.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.449999900 result 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000, 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 17%
  • Losing outcome 71%
  • About break-even 2%
  • Above the Steam cap 11%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
142 328.87 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 123764.25 you get 0.036000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 118 483.28 ₸ (you get 103 028.91)) · buy orders: 426 sell on Market.CSGO: 111 583.56 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 122 350.45 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 110 047.61 ₸ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 113 219.20 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 112 012.95 ₸ listings: 9
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
218 567.67 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 190058.85 you get 0.122500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 114 816.59 ₸ (you get 99 840.50)) · buy orders: 150 sell on Market.CSGO: 101 976.77 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 111 816.64 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 103 907.77 ₸ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 97 469.72 ₸ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
73 035.62 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 63509.21 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 92 824.95 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 70 413.10 ₸ (you get 61 228.73)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 65 900.03 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 72 258.81 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 65 265.95 ₸ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
66 588.92 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 57903.40 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 53 083.47 ₸ (you get 46 159.49)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 55 013.79 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 60 322.18 · lots 3 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 55 019.32 ₸ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
99 401.77 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 86436.32 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 134 197.05 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 89 477.78 ₸ (you get 77 806.76)) · buy orders: 134 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 97 135.43 ₸ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
29 892.86 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 25993.78 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 56 309.01 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 34 265.95 ₸ (you get 29 796.44)) · buy orders: 94 sell on Market.CSGO: 33 189.45 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 36 391.99 · lots 3 on Lis-Skins: from 37 932.53 ₸ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
37 837.22 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 32901.94 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 46 377.48 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 37 705.63 ₸ (you get 32 787.49)) · buy orders: 75 sell on Market.CSGO: 36 775.38 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 40 323.93 · lots 3 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
89 664.29 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 77968.95 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
53 999.37 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 46955.97 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 94 938.65 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 36 232.92 ₸ (you get 31 506.87)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 56 244.72 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 61 671.89 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 58 014.69 ₸ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
36 941.69 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 32123.18 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 39 765.00 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 35 859.70 ₸ (you get 31 182.34)) · buy orders: 41 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000 sell now to a buy order: 36 444.73 ₸ (you get 31 691.05)) · buy orders: 93 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 58 123.13 ₸ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
36 920.59 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 32104.88 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 124 316.89 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 29 272.80 ₸ (you get 25 454.58)) · buy orders: 62 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 633.62 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 37 975.46 · lots 5 on Lis-Skins: from 36 509.35 ₸ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
67 776.60 ₸ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 58936.18
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 58 500.25 ₸ (you get 50 869.77)) · buy orders: 193 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 49 787.52 ₸ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 63 431.68 ₸ listings: 29
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
236 819.20 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 205929.75 you get 0.036000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 147 640.05 ₸ (you get 128 382.64)) · buy orders: 303 sell on Market.CSGO: 134 934.99 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 147 955.09 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 133 726.11 ₸ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 135 858.53 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 134 525.75 ₸ listings: 48
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
115 244.98 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 100213.02 you get 0.122500The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 92 458.49 ₸ (you get 80 398.64)) · buy orders: 138 sell on Market.CSGO: 95 399.74 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 104 604.99 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 85 488.20 ₸ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 82 257.86 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 89 337.49 ₸ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
89 664.29 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 77968.95 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 69 611.18 ₸ (you get 60 531.46)) · buy orders: 111 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 48 572.20 ₸ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 52 417.00 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 70 890.80 ₸ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
55 669.55 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 48408.32 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 68 266.33 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 48 952.80 ₸ (you get 42 567.64)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 45 822.62 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 50 244.12 · lots 9 on Lis-Skins: from 46 457.81 ₸ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
89 664.29 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 77968.95 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 104 886.12 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 85 165.51 ₸ (you get 74 056.95)) · buy orders: 131 sell on Market.CSGO: 73 057.19 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 80 106.60 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 88 551.34 ₸ listings: 13 on CS.Money: ~ 71 310.96 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 74 803.27 ₸ listings: 8
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
49 460.72 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 43009.32 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 42 184.30 ₸ (you get 36 681.98)) · buy orders: 96 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
56 841.88 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 49427.70 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 59 931.66 ₸, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 33 863.25 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 37 130.77 · lots 5 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 34 964.22 ₸ listings: 5
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
116 036.13 ₸ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 113715.41 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 116 036.13 ₸ listings 7 · you get 113 715.41 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and patternlisted at 117 222.13 ₸, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 47 283.35 ₸ (you get 41 115.93)) · buy orders: 100 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 117 222.13 ₸ listings: 7
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 45 301.25 ₸ (you get 39 392.37)) · buy orders: 80 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
35 924.10 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 31238.35 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 43 478.05 ₸, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 33 794.10 ₸ listings: 4 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 56 825.74 ₸ (you get 49 413.67)) · buy orders: 67 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 56 220.56 ₸ (you get 48 887.39)) · buy orders: 58 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife
no wear
159 719.89 ₸ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 138886.87The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 157 601.12 ₸ (you get 137 044.42)) · buy orders: 419 sell on Market.CSGO: 129 795.59 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 142 319.74 · lots 3 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 119 142.21 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 110 196.72 ₸ listings: 10
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