Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1747945 · ways to build: 4 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −7 126.31₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 381.20₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 12 254.89₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −36.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 17%

If buying now (with float)

invest 27 830.68₽ · profit −15 575.79₽ (-56.0%) · chance of profit 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 1 53% of the wear window fits ×1.32 4013.00 → 5306.79 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 53% of the wear window fits ×1.47 15368.20 → 22523.63 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 4 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 10.8% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 1.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -7 458.00 ₽.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

53% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2727
4 013.00 ₽
at 4 013.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.272727f′ (normalized) 0.545454wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 17 · good ≈ 3
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 52 of 64 · from 2 864.41 ₽ (float 0.1625) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2727
15 368.20 ₽
at 3 842.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.272727f′ (normalized) 0.426136wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 38 of 45 · from 3 326.96 ₽ (float 0.2718) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 19 381.20 ₽ -7 126.31 (-36.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.449999900 result 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000, 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 17%
  • Losing outcome 71%
  • About break-even 2%
  • Above the Steam cap 11%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
26 985.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 23465.22 you get 0.036000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 463.97 ₽ (you get 19 533.88)) · buy orders: 426 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 155.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 197.17 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 20 864.60 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 21 465.92 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 21 237.22 ₽ listings: 9
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
41 439.58 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 36034.42 you get 0.122500The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 768.78 ₽ (you get 18 929.37)) · buy orders: 150 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 334.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 200.00 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 19 700.51 ₽ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 18 479.88 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
13 847.27 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 12041.10 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 17 599.25 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 13 350.05 ₽ (you get 11 608.73)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 494.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 699.99 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 12 374.17 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
12 625.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 10978.26 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 064.42 ₽ (you get 8 751.66)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 430.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 436.85 · lots 3 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 10 431.45 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
18 846.19 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 16387.99 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 25 443.24 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 16 964.64 ₽ (you get 14 751.86)) · buy orders: 134 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 18 416.50 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
5 667.57 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 4928.32 you get 0.393000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 675.97 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 496.69 ₽ (you get 5 649.29)) · buy orders: 94 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 292.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 899.78 · lots 3 on Lis-Skins: from 7 191.86 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
7 173.79 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 6238.08 you get 0.393000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 792.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 148.84 ₽ (you get 6 216.38)) · buy orders: 75 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 972.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 645.26 · lots 3 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.393000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
10 238.07 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 8902.67 you get 0.393000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 18 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 869.62 ₽ (you get 5 973.58)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 663.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 692.75 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 10 999.36 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
7 004.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 6090.43 you get 0.393000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 539.29 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 798.86 ₽ (you get 5 912.05)) · buy orders: 41 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The Wildfire Collection sell now to a buy order: 6 909.78 ₽ (you get 6 008.50)) · buy orders: 93 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 11 019.92 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
7 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 6086.96 you get 0.393000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 23 570.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 550.01 ₽ (you get 4 826.09)) · buy orders: 62 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 566.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 200.00 · lots 5 on Lis-Skins: from 6 922.03 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 850.18 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11174.07The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 091.42 ₽ (you get 9 644.71)) · buy orders: 193 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 9 439.52 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 12 026.40 ₽ listings: 29
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
44 900.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 39043.48 you get 0.036000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 991.98 ₽ (you get 24 340.85)) · buy orders: 303 sell on Market.CSGO: 25 583.15 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 28 051.71 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 25 353.95 ₽ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 25 758.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 25 505.56 ₽ listings: 48
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
21 850.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 19000.00 you get 0.122500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 529.77 ₽ (you get 15 243.27)) · buy orders: 138 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 087.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 19 832.70 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 16 208.23 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 15 595.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 938.04 ₽ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 198.01 ₽ (you get 11 476.53)) · buy orders: 111 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 9 209.10 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 9 938.06 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 440.62 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
10 554.73 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 9178.03 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 12 943.03 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 281.26 ₽ (you get 8 070.66)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 687.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 526.09 · lots 9 on Lis-Skins: from 8 808.22 ₽ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 19 886.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 16 147.05 ₽ (you get 14 040.91)) · buy orders: 131 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 851.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 15 187.90 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 16 788.99 ₽ listings: 13 on CS.Money: ~ 13 520.28 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 14 182.41 ₽ listings: 8
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
9 377.56 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 8154.40 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 997.98 ₽ (you get 6 954.76)) · buy orders: 96 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
10 777.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 9371.30 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 11 362.81 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 6 420.34 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 039.85 · lots 5 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 6 629.08 ₽ listings: 5
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
22 000.00 ₽ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 21560.00 you get 0.393000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 22 000.00 ₽ listings 7 · you get 21 560.00 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and patternlisted at 22 224.86 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 964.74 ₽ (you get 7 795.42)) · buy orders: 100 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 22 224.86 ₽ listings: 7
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000 sell now to a buy order: 8 588.94 ₽ (you get 7 468.64)) · buy orders: 80 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
6 811.07 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 5922.67 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 243.27 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 6 407.23 ₽ listings: 4 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000 sell now to a buy order: 10 773.94 ₽ (you get 9 368.64)) · buy orders: 67 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000 sell now to a buy order: 10 659.20 ₽ (you get 9 268.86)) · buy orders: 58 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife
no wear
30 282.27 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 26332.41
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 29 880.56 ₽ (you get 25 983.09)) · buy orders: 419 sell on Market.CSGO: 24 608.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 26 983.27 · lots 3 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 22 588.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 892.87 ₽ listings: 10
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