Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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to all knife crafts

The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1750034 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −5 167.89₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 11 532.48₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 364.59₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −44.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 15%

If buying now (with float)

invest 11 853.91₴ · profit −5 489.33₴ (-46.3%) · chance of profit 15%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 93% of the wear window fits ×1.04 8052.84 → 8362.07 ₴
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 93% of the wear window fits ×1.00 3479.64 → 3492.17 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.2% of the probability.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

93% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.3634
8 052.84 ₴
at 2 013.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.363466f′ (normalized) 0.567916wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 13
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 44 of 45 · from 1 662.52 ₴ (float 0.2952) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.3634
3 479.64 ₴
at 3 479.64
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.363466f′ (normalized) 0.363466wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 20 · good ≈ 16
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 52 of 59 · from 2 901.77 ₴ (float 0.2827) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 11 532.48 ₴ -5 167.89 (-44.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.527026927 result 0.042162, 0.141757, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.141757, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 78%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
14 139.97 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 12295.63 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 770.98 ₴ (you get 10 235.63)) · buy orders: 426 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 085.51 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 155.18 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 10 932.92 ₴ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 11 248.01 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 11 128.17 ₴ listings: 9
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
21 714.09 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 18881.82 you get 0.141757
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 406.71 ₴ (you get 9 918.87)) · buy orders: 150 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 131.11 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 108.67 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 10 322.95 ₴ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 9 683.34 ₴ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
7 255.88 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 6309.46 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 11 274.78 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 250.02 ₴ (you get 3 695.67)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 476.96 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 487.90 · lots 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
6 615.42 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 5752.54 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 116.24 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 993.10 ₴ (you get 4 341.82)) · buy orders: 74 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 028.98 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 514.24 · lots 6 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 062.50 ₴ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
9 875.29 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 8587.21 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 12 624.15 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 430.51 ₴ (you get 8 200.44)) · buy orders: 111 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 8 483.14 ₴ listings: 5
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
2 969.77 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 2582.41 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 5 594.14 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 404.23 ₴ (you get 2 960.19)) · buy orders: 94 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 297.28 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 615.44 · lots 3 on Lis-Skins: from 3 768.49 ₴ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
3 759.02 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 3268.72 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 607.47 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 745.95 ₴ (you get 3 257.35)) · buy orders: 75 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 653.53 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 006.07 · lots 3 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
8 907.90 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 7746.00 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
5 364.69 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 4664.94 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 9 431.89 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 599.64 ₴ (you get 3 130.12)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 587.76 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 6 126.93 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 763.60 ₴ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
3 670.05 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 3191.35 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 3 950.54 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 562.56 ₴ (you get 3 097.88)) · buy orders: 41 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000 sell now to a buy order: 3 620.68 ₴ (you get 3 148.42)) · buy orders: 93 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 774.37 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
3 667.96 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 3189.53 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 12 350.54 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 2 908.17 ₴ (you get 2 528.84)) · buy orders: 62 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 440.75 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 772.76 · lots 5 on Lis-Skins: from 3 627.10 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
6 733.42 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 5855.14
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 811.84 ₴ (you get 5 053.77)) · buy orders: 193 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 4 946.25 ₴ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 6 301.76 ₴ listings: 29
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade
Factory New
16 608.99 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 14442.60 you get 0.042162The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 789.27 ₴ (you get 11 990.66)) · buy orders: 259 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 095.69 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 14 359.31 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 11 221.08 ₴ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 11 978.73 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 11 091.37 ₴ listings: 13
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
15 483.87 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 13464.24 you get 0.141757The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 19 099.31 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 800.30 ₴ (you get 8 522.00)) · buy orders: 161 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 464.23 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 473.94 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 9 740.35 ₴ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 10 693.69 ₴ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
7 854.15 ₴ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 6829.69 you get 0.527027The Falchion Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 748.95 ₴ (you get 6 738.21)) · buy orders: 97 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 067.08 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 748.99 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 7 019.46 ₴ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 7 191.37 ₴ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
5 891.48 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 5123.03 you get 0.527027The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 849.69 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 221.15 · lots 4 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
8 740.08 ₴ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 7600.07 you get 0.527027The Falchion Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 694.83 ₴ (you get 6 691.16)) · buy orders: 105 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 8 241.21 ₴ listings: 7 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
3 442.76 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 2993.70 you get 0.450000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 3 871.56 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 614.67 ₴ (you get 3 143.19)) · buy orders: 99 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
4 343.10 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 3776.61 you get 0.450000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 6 334.67 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 078.16 ₴ (you get 3 546.22)) · buy orders: 136 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 7 189.12 ₴ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
8 044.58 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 6995.29 you get 0.450000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 9 549.26 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 135.39 ₴ (you get 7 943.82)) · buy orders: 128 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night
Well-Worn
4 578.99 ₴ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 3981.74 you get 0.450000The Falchion Collection sells ≈2 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 4 826.61 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 292.34 · lots 4 on Lis-Skins: from 4 983.06 ₴ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
4 459.19 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 3877.55 you get 0.450000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 176.74 ₴ (you get 2 762.39)) · buy orders: 116 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 422.86 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 849.64 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 3 769.84 ₴ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 3 863.64 ₴ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
3 859.21 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 3355.84 you get 0.450000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 5 082.22 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 481.51 ₴ (you get 3 896.96)) · buy orders: 131 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 778.26 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 239.32 · lots 3 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 012.68 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
4 849.43 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 4216.90 you get 0.450000The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 9 594.56 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 149.55 ₴ (you get 5 347.43)) · buy orders: 116 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife
no wear
8 903.10 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knifenet 7741.83The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 751.83 ₴ (you get 5 871.15)) · buy orders: 266 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 530.42 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 160.54 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 5 991.16 ₴ listings: 11 on CS.Money: ~ 7 195.86 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 6 674.75 ₴ listings: 24
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