Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
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The Wildfire Collection + The Huntsman Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1751756 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −6 799.85₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 137.68₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 12 337.83₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −35.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 17%

If buying now (with float)

invest 20 197.95₽ · profit −7 860.12₽ (-38.9%) · chance of profit 15%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 84% of the wear window fits ×1.07 15368.20 → 16397.87 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) × 1 84% of the wear window fits ×1.01 3769.48 → 3799.64 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.2% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: Market.CSGO — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 1.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -6 917.36 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Huntsman Collection
−6 799.85 ₽ −35.5% chance of profit 17%
expensive: ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) · 36 034.42 ₽ · chance 6.2%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 92% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 4× StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.3431
  • 1× StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.3431
Variant 2 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
−4 851.97 ₽ −14.6% chance of profit 18%
expensive: ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) · 208 022.31 ₽ · chance 2.0%
at a loss, a chance at an expensive one no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 83% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 2× StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0122
  • 3× StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0839

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

84% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.3431
15 368.20 ₽
at 3 842.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.343180f′ (normalized) 0.536219wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 11
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 44 of 45 · from 3 172.78 ₽ (float 0.2952) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.3431
3 769.48 ₽
at 3 769.48
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.343180f′ (normalized) 0.490257wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 15 · good ≈ 10
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 67 of 68 · from 2 652.83 ₽ (float 0.3059) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 19 137.68 ₽ -6 799.85 (-35.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.527026927 result 0.042162, 0.141757, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.141757, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 77%
  • About break-even 2%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
26 985.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 23465.22 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 463.97 ₽ (you get 19 533.88)) · buy orders: 426 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 155.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 197.17 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 20 864.60 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 21 465.92 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 21 237.22 ₽ listings: 9
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
41 439.58 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 36034.42 you get 0.141757
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 768.78 ₽ (you get 18 929.37)) · buy orders: 150 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 334.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 200.00 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 19 700.51 ₽ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 18 479.88 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
13 847.27 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 12041.10 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 21 517.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 110.82 ₽ (you get 7 052.88)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 994.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 923.73 · lots 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
12 625.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 10978.26 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 13 580.76 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 528.92 ₽ (you get 8 286.01)) · buy orders: 74 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 597.41 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 523.48 · lots 6 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 9 661.38 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
18 846.19 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 16387.99 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 24 092.18 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 17 997.37 ₽ (you get 15 649.88)) · buy orders: 111 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 16 189.38 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
5 667.57 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 4928.32 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 675.97 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 496.69 ₽ (you get 5 649.29)) · buy orders: 94 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 292.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 899.78 · lots 3 on Lis-Skins: from 7 191.86 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
7 173.79 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 6238.08 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 792.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 148.84 ₽ (you get 6 216.38)) · buy orders: 75 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 972.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 645.26 · lots 3 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
10 238.07 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 8902.67 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 18 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 869.62 ₽ (you get 5 973.58)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 663.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 692.75 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 10 999.36 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
7 004.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 6090.43 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 539.29 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 798.86 ₽ (you get 5 912.05)) · buy orders: 41 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000 sell now to a buy order: 6 909.78 ₽ (you get 6 008.50)) · buy orders: 93 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 11 019.92 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
7 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 6086.96 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 23 570.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 550.01 ₽ (you get 4 826.09)) · buy orders: 62 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 566.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 200.00 · lots 5 on Lis-Skins: from 6 922.03 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 850.18 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11174.07
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 091.42 ₽ (you get 9 644.71)) · buy orders: 193 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 9 439.52 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 12 026.40 ₽ listings: 29
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Fade
Factory New
37 742.15 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 32819.26 you get 0.042162The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 408.68 ₽ (you get 23 833.63)) · buy orders: 386 sell on Market.CSGO: 23 556.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 25 829.47 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 25 243.45 ₽ listings: 15 on CS.Money: ~ 25 428.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 23 177.37 ₽ listings: 15
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
32 895.84 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 28605.08 you get 0.141757The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 19 454.67 ₽ listings: 11 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
15 515.46 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 13491.70 you get 0.527027The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 561.43 ₽ (you get 8 314.28)) · buy orders: 56 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 991.87 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 148.99 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 13 366.95 ₽ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 13 572.53 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
9 786.31 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 8509.83 you get 0.527027The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 15 037.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
22 508.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 19572.17 you get 0.527027The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 36 661.15 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 21 329.87 ₽ (you get 18 547.71)) · buy orders: 117 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 20 703.57 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
8 050.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 7000.00 you get 0.450000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 822.54 ₽ (you get 5 063.07)) · buy orders: 48 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 023.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 893.87 · lots 4 on Lis-Skins: from 9 311.89 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
7 841.93 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 6819.07 you get 0.450000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 496.91 ₽ (you get 6 519.05)) · buy orders: 73 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 765.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 418.51 · lots 4 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 6 449.20 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
15 476.99 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 13458.25 you get 0.450000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 29 553.25 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 12 892.97 ₽ (you get 11 211.27)) · buy orders: 64 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 20 205.89 ₽ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night
Well-Worn
9 531.03 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 8287.85 you get 0.450000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 16 909.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 098.39 ₽ (you get 7 042.07)) · buy orders: 86 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
8 020.99 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 6974.77 you get 0.450000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 671.61 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 969.30 ₽ (you get 6 929.82)) · buy orders: 127 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 7 280.94 ₽ Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
6 939.34 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 6034.21 you get 0.450000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
8 039.73 ₽ 1.54%
sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 7637.74 you get 0.450000The Huntsman Collection no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 8 039.73 ₽ listings 3 · you get 7 637.74 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and patternlisted at 9 251.04 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 146.70 ₽ (you get 5 344.95)) · buy orders: 96 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 436.94 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 251.04 · lots 3 on Lis-Skins: from 8 723.42 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife
no wear
16 454.47 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knifenet 14308.23The Huntsman Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 453.33 ₽ (you get 11 698.54)) · buy orders: 190 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 934.87 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 989.99 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 13 178.50 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 12 111.20 ₽ listings: 20
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