Knives and gloves · The Prisma Collection
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The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1752630 · ways to build: 3 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −7 766.63₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 768.20₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 14 001.57₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −35.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 19%

If buying now (with float)

invest 22 849.52₽ · profit −8 847.95₽ (-38.7%) · chance of profit 19%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Field-Tested) × 1 84% of the wear window fits ×1.01 6400.00 → 6451.20 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 84% of the wear window fits ×1.07 15368.20 → 16397.87 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.9% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 0.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -7 880.07 ₽.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

84% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.3431
6 400.00 ₽
at 6 400.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.343180f′ (normalized) 0.490257wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 8
Market history: no data yet
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.3431
15 368.20 ₽
at 3 842.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.343180f′ (normalized) 0.536219wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 11
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs 21 768.20 ₽ -7 766.63 (-35.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.527026927 result 0.042162, 0.141757, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.450000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 41 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 19%
  • Losing outcome 74%
  • Above the Steam cap 7%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
26 985.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 23465.22 you get 0.042162The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 463.97 ₽ (you get 19 533.88)) · buy orders: 426
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
41 439.58 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 36034.42 you get 0.141757The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 768.78 ₽ (you get 18 929.37)) · buy orders: 150
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
13 847.27 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 12041.10 you get 0.527027The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 21 517.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 110.82 ₽ (you get 7 052.88)) · buy orders: 92
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
12 625.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 10978.26 you get 0.527027The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 13 580.76 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 528.92 ₽ (you get 8 286.01)) · buy orders: 74
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
18 846.19 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 16387.99 you get 0.527027The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 24 092.18 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 17 997.37 ₽ (you get 15 649.88)) · buy orders: 111
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
5 667.57 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 4928.32 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 675.97 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 496.69 ₽ (you get 5 649.29)) · buy orders: 94
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
7 173.79 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 6238.08 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 792.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 148.84 ₽ (you get 6 216.38)) · buy orders: 75
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
10 238.07 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 8902.67 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 18 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 869.62 ₽ (you get 5 973.58)) · buy orders: 70
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
7 004.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 6090.43 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 539.29 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 798.86 ₽ (you get 5 912.05)) · buy orders: 41
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection sell now to a buy order: 6 909.78 ₽ (you get 6 008.50)) · buy orders: 93
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
7 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 6086.96 you get 0.450000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 23 570.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 550.01 ₽ (you get 4 826.09)) · buy orders: 62
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 850.18 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11174.07The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 091.42 ₽ (you get 9 644.71)) · buy orders: 193
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler
Factory New
16 533.62 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 14377.06 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 695.48 ₽ (you get 12 778.67)) · buy orders: 275
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
12 175.00 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 10586.96 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 374.46 ₽ (you get 9 890.83)) · buy orders: 186
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
9 252.45 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 8045.61 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 792.62 ₽ (you get 7 645.75)) · buy orders: 210
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
5 999.98 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 5217.37 you get 0.263513
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 6 160.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 361.63 ₽ (you get 4 662.28)) · buy orders: 158
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
5 000.00 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 4347.83 you get 0.716216
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
5 415.71 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 4709.31 you get 0.450000 sells ≈3 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 4 834.74 ₽ (you get 4 204.12)) · buy orders: 148
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler
Factory New
64 567.58 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 56145.72 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 49 952.01 ₽ (you get 43 436.53)) · buy orders: 300
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
38 642.44 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 33602.12 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 32 229.08 ₽ (you get 28 025.28)) · buy orders: 215
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
33 247.42 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 28910.80 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 28 355.35 ₽ (you get 24 656.82)) · buy orders: 192
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
21 000.00 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 18260.87 you get 0.263513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 954.57 ₽ (you get 16 482.23)) · buy orders: 116
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
14 562.29 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 12662.86 you get 0.716216 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 659.87 ₽ (you get 11 878.14)) · buy orders: 149
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
16 206.52 ₽ 0.71%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 15882.38 you get 0.450000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 16 206.52 ₽ listings 3 · you get 15 882.38 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 16 739.92 ₽ (you get 14 556.45)) · buy orders: 92
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler
Factory New
26 984.32 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 23464.63 you get 0.042162 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 248.31 ₽ (you get 21 085.48)) · buy orders: 285
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
18 717.69 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 16276.25 you get 0.042162
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
16 361.24 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 14227.17 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 034.95 ₽ (you get 13 073.86)) · buy orders: 173
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
8 644.03 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 7516.55 you get 0.263513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 347.97 ₽ (you get 7 259.10)) · buy orders: 119
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
6 501.93 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 5653.85 you get 0.716216 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 237.55 ₽ (you get 5 423.95)) · buy orders: 157
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
9 498.06 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 8259.18 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 412.94 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 583.20 ₽ (you get 7 463.65)) · buy orders: 94
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler
Factory New
92 305.19 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 80265.38 you get 0.042162 sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 91 992.10 ₽ (you get 79 993.13)) · buy orders: 647
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
73 409.19 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 63834.08 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 60 448.65 ₽ (you get 52 564.04)) · buy orders: 785
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
60 632.80 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 52724.17 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
37 680.39 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 32765.56 you get 0.263513
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
28 868.77 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 25103.28 you get 0.716216
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000 sell now to a buy order: 21 228.51 ₽ (you get 18 459.57)) · buy orders: 67
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife
no wear
7 352.98 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 6393.90 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 195.92 ₽ (you get 7 126.88)) · buy orders: 242
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife
no wear
5 632.73 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knifenet 4898.03
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 807.97 ₽ (you get 4 180.84)) · buy orders: 313
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife
no wear
20 687.97 ₽ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knifenet 17989.54 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 895.51 ₽ (you get 17 300.44)) · buy orders: 286
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife
no wear
39 715.65 ₽ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knifenet 34535.35
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
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