Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
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to all knife crafts

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1753073 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −10 434.83₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 204.76₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 15 769.93₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −39.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 12%

If buying now (with float)

invest 29 996.06₽ · profit −14 226.13₽ (-47.4%) · chance of profit 11%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 62% of the wear window fits ×1.19 15368.20 → 18285.08 ₽
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) × 1 62% of the wear window fits ×1.08 10836.56 → 11711.07 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.2% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 3. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 2.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -12 391.28 ₽.

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

62% of lots fit collecting: no data
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2922
15 368.20 ₽
at 3 842.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.292271f′ (normalized) 0.456674wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Well-Worn
buy 0.3800–0.4233
10 836.56 ₽
at 10 836.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.423300f′ (normalized) 0.423300wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 13
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs 26 204.76 ₽ -10 434.83 (-39.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.449999900 result 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.225000, 0.670000, 0.393000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.225000, 0.670000, 0.393000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.225000, 0.670000, 0.393000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.225000, 0.670000, 0.393000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.036000, 0.225000, 0.670000, 0.393000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 43 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 12%
  • Losing outcome 82%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
26 985.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 23465.22 you get 0.036000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 463.97 ₽ (you get 19 533.88)) · buy orders: 426
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
41 439.58 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 36034.42 you get 0.122500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 768.78 ₽ (you get 18 929.37)) · buy orders: 150
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
13 847.27 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 12041.10 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 17 599.25 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 13 350.05 ₽ (you get 11 608.73)) · buy orders: 89
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
12 625.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 10978.26 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 064.42 ₽ (you get 8 751.66)) · buy orders: 89
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
18 846.19 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 16387.99 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 25 443.24 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 16 964.64 ₽ (you get 14 751.86)) · buy orders: 134
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
5 667.57 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 4928.32 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 675.97 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 496.69 ₽ (you get 5 649.29)) · buy orders: 94
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
7 173.79 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 6238.08 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 792.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 148.84 ₽ (you get 6 216.38)) · buy orders: 75
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
10 238.07 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 8902.67 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 18 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 869.62 ₽ (you get 5 973.58)) · buy orders: 70
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
7 004.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 6090.43 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 539.29 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 798.86 ₽ (you get 5 912.05)) · buy orders: 41
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000 sell now to a buy order: 6 909.78 ₽ (you get 6 008.50)) · buy orders: 93
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
7 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 6086.96 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 23 570.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 550.01 ₽ (you get 4 826.09)) · buy orders: 62
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 850.18 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11174.07
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 091.42 ₽ (you get 9 644.71)) · buy orders: 193
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler
Factory New
173 457.69 ₽ 0.67%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 169988.53 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 173 457.69 ₽ listings 55 · you get 169 988.53 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 1069
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
118 244.18 ₽ 0.67%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 115879.29 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 118 244.18 ₽ listings 22 · you get 115 879.29 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 134 754.15 ₽ (you get 117 177.52)) · buy orders: 1087
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
154 196.31 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 134083.75 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 108 709.07 ₽ (you get 94 529.62)) · buy orders: 936
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
72 730.92 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 63244.28 you get 0.225000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 69 385.66 ₽ (you get 60 335.35)) · buy orders: 347
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
55 554.50 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 48308.26 you get 0.670000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 56 516.59 ₽ (you get 49 144.86)) · buy orders: 355
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
77 096.31 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 67040.27 you get 0.393000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 82 982.74 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 58 432.90 ₽ (you get 50 811.21)) · buy orders: 113
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler
Factory New
41 795.75 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 36344.13 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 35 617.99 ₽ (you get 30 972.16)) · buy orders: 321
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 153.69 ₽ (you get 17 524.94)) · buy orders: 251
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
16 810.75 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 14618.04 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
1 124.44 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 977.77 you get 0.225000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 408.66 ₽ (you get 9 051.00)) · buy orders: 117
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
7 025.04 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 6108.73 you get 0.670000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
8 000.00 ₽ 0.67%
sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 7600.00 you get 0.393000The Spectrum 2 Collection no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 8 000.00 ₽ listings 5 · you get 7 600.00 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 9 825.36 ₽ (you get 8 543.79)) · buy orders: 75
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler
Factory New
18 570.35 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New)net 16148.13 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 2 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade
Factory New
9 680.09 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 8417.47 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 768.21 ₽ (you get 9 363.66)) · buy orders: 201
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
9 638.42 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 8381.23 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 490.45 ₽ (you get 7 383.00)) · buy orders: 192
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
6 006.47 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 5223.02 you get 0.225000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells ≈3 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 5 997.53 ₽ (you get 5 215.24)) · buy orders: 123
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
6 400.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 5565.22 you get 0.670000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 669.31 ₽ (you get 4 060.26)) · buy orders: 214
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
7 100.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 6173.91 you get 0.393000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 169.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 174.44 ₽ (you get 5 369.07)) · buy orders: 98
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler
Factory New
33 403.05 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 29046.13 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 23 678.39 ₽ (you get 20 589.90)) · buy orders: 362
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
23 611.20 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 20531.48 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 947.65 ₽ (you get 15 606.65)) · buy orders: 270
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
15 835.08 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 13769.63 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 472.45 ₽ (you get 11 715.17)) · buy orders: 350
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
9 800.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 8521.74 you get 0.225000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 844.25 ₽ (you get 7 690.65)) · buy orders: 112
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
6 564.98 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 5708.68 you get 0.670000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 750.82 ₽ (you get 5 000.71)) · buy orders: 144
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
8 835.73 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 7683.24 you get 0.393000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 899.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler
Factory New
44 547.12 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 38736.63 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
25 056.35 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 21788.13 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 23 263.38 ₽ (you get 20 229.02)) · buy orders: 233
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
18 500.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 16086.96 you get 0.036000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 022.74 ₽ (you get 13 932.81)) · buy orders: 447
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel
Field-Tested
9 294.60 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)net 8082.26 you get 0.225000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 12 444.16 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
6 346.12 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 5518.37 you get 0.670000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 052.99 ₽ (you get 5 263.46)) · buy orders: 136
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet
Well-Worn
7 352.22 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)net 6393.23 you get 0.393000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 624.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders

No other variants in this recount

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