Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

LanguageRU
to all knife crafts

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1753075 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −7 542.33₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 18 842.41₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 11 300.08₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −40.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 11%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 43 276.60₴ · profit at most −31 976.52₴ (at most -73.9%) · chance of profit at most 3%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 4 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 12570.70 → 29729.70 ₴
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 6271.71 → 13546.90 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.2% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 2. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 1.3% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -8 540.95 ₴.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0791
12 570.70 ₴
at 3 142.67
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.079195f′ (normalized) 0.123742wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0791
6 271.71 ₴
at 6 271.71
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.079195f′ (normalized) 0.113136wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 20 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs 18 842.41 ₴ -7 542.33 (-40.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.121621522 result 0.009730, 0.040405, 0.121622, 0.121622, 0.121622, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.000000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 43 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 11%
  • Losing outcome 82%
  • About break-even 1%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
14 139.97 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 12295.63 you get 0.009730
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 770.98 ₴ (you get 10 235.63)) · buy orders: 426
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
31 193.54 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 27124.82 you get 0.040405
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 091.41 ₴ (you get 12 253.39)) · buy orders: 222
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
15 486.24 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)net 13466.30 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 662.90 ₴ (you get 4 054.69)) · buy orders: 109
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Minimal Wear
8 716.64 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)net 7579.69 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 752.21 ₴ (you get 5 001.91)) · buy orders: 111
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
19 643.83 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)net 17081.59 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 658.12 ₴ (you get 9 267.93)) · buy orders: 121
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Minimal Wear
5 049.89 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 4391.21 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 166.72 ₴ (you get 2 753.67)) · buy orders: 129
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Minimal Wear
6 287.92 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 5467.76 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 562.56 ₴ (you get 3 097.88)) · buy orders: 82
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
13 099.32 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 11390.72 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 147.92 ₴ (you get 7 954.71)) · buy orders: 115
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Minimal Wear
9 433.50 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Minimal Wear)net 8203.04 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 911.16 ₴ (you get 6 009.71)) · buy orders: 84
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Minimal Wear
6 817.01 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 5927.84 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 181.87 ₴ (you get 3 636.41)) · buy orders: 97
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Minimal Wear
4 342.58 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 3776.16 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Minimal Wear
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) you get 0.150000 sell now to a buy order: 4 610.28 ₴ (you get 4 008.94)) · buy orders: 64
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
6 733.42 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 5855.14
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 811.84 ₴ (you get 5 053.77)) · buy orders: 193
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler
Factory New
90 890.77 ₴ 0.67%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 89072.95 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 90 890.77 ₴ listings 55 · you get 89 072.95 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴ (you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 1069
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
61 959.23 ₴ 0.67%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 60720.04 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 61 959.23 ₴ listings 22 · you get 60 720.04 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 70 610.35 ₴ (you get 61 400.30)) · buy orders: 1087
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
80 797.92 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 70259.06 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 56 962.89 ₴ (you get 49 532.94)) · buy orders: 936
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
76 578.44 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 66589.94 you get 0.060811The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 45 310.16 ₴ (you get 39 400.14)) · buy orders: 306
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
29 110.22 ₴ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 25313.23 you get 0.472973The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 29 614.35 ₴ (you get 25 751.61)) · buy orders: 355
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
65 087.65 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 56597.96 you get 0.150000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler
Factory New
21 900.72 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 19044.10 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 663.61 ₴ (you get 16 229.22)) · buy orders: 321
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 560.41 ₴ (you get 9 182.96)) · buy orders: 251
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
8 808.73 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 7659.76 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
9 651.54 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 8392.64 you get 0.060811The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 426.26 ₴ (you get 6 457.62)) · buy orders: 118
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
3 681.08 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 3200.94 you get 0.472973The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
10 744.48 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 9343.03 you get 0.150000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 423.51 ₴ (you get 4 716.09)) · buy orders: 107
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler
Factory New
9 730.75 ₴ 0.67%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New)net 8461.52 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 2 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade
Factory New
5 072.31 ₴ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 4410.70 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 642.48 ₴ (you get 4 906.50)) · buy orders: 201
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
5 050.47 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 4391.71 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 448.94 ₴ (you get 3 868.65)) · buy orders: 192
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel
Factory New
4 844.28 ₴ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 4212.42 you get 0.060811The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 826.74 ₴ (you get 4 197.16)) · buy orders: 120
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
3 353.56 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 2916.14 you get 0.472973The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 446.69 ₴ (you get 2 127.55)) · buy orders: 214
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
5 736.10 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 4987.91 you get 0.150000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 068.63 ₴ (you get 3 537.94)) · buy orders: 129
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler
Factory New
17 502.99 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 15219.99 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 407.33 ₴ (you get 10 788.98)) · buy orders: 362
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
12 372.12 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 10758.37 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 404.46 ₴ (you get 8 177.79)) · buy orders: 270
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
8 297.49 ₴ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 7215.20 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 059.48 ₴ (you get 6 138.68)) · buy orders: 350
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
10 540.45 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 9165.61 you get 0.060811The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 809.33 ₴ (you get 5 051.58)) · buy orders: 126
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
3 440.01 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 2991.31 you get 0.472973The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 013.39 ₴ (you get 2 620.34)) · buy orders: 144
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
6 497.52 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 5650.02 you get 0.150000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 671.54 ₴ (you get 4 931.77)) · buy orders: 115
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler
Factory New
23 342.42 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 20297.76 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
13 129.37 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 11416.85 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 189.87 ₴ (you get 10 599.88)) · buy orders: 233
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
9 693.89 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 8429.47 you get 0.009730The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 395.82 ₴ (you get 7 300.71)) · buy orders: 447
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
8 121.94 ₴ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 7062.56 you get 0.060811The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 2 a week no buy orders
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
3 325.33 ₴ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 2891.59 you get 0.472973The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 171.73 ₴ (you get 2 758.02)) · buy orders: 136
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
7 955.80 ₴ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 6918.09 you get 0.150000The Spectrum 2 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work