The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection
If buying now (with float)
invest 351.06$ · profit −176.77$ (-50.4%) · chance of profit 12%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
No other variants in this recount
How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
What you get 78 outcomes
- Profitable outcome 13%
- Losing outcome 77%
- About break-even 1%
- Above the Steam cap 10%
More
14% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history — their price is taken as of today.
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
-
Craft 1753363
· The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit -126.90$
· invest 306.66$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.212903 instead of 0.242720; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.246451 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1753371
· The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit -126.90$
· invest 306.66$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.246451 instead of 0.292170; StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.212903 instead of 0.242720
-
Craft 1748329
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit -128.70$
· invest 339.04$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.292271 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1748330
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit -128.70$
· invest 339.04$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.351032 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1748338
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit -128.70$
· invest 339.04$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.292271 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1748339
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit -128.70$
· invest 339.04$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.351032 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1753364
· The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit -132.38$
· invest 306.66$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
-
Craft 1749139
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit -135.02$
· invest 345.37$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.305806 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1749140
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit -135.02$
· invest 345.37$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.351525 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1749148
· The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit -135.02$
· invest 345.37$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.305806 instead of 0.292170
-
Craft 1749149
· The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit -135.02$
· invest 345.37$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.351525 instead of 0.292170
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.