Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection

Classified → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753540 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −1 791.90₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 28 081.62₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 26 289.72₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −6.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 8%
From the outcome -12 578.00 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +10 786.10 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 81 436.69₴ · profit at most −55 146.98₴ (at most -67.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) × 50 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 28081.62 → 81436.69 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 15.4% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 7.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -2 330.54 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → нож или перчатки
−1 791.90 ₴ −6.4% chance of profit 8%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 70 259.06 ₴ · chance 7.7%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 77% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 10× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+865.69 ₴ +20.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 7 391.04 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −2 830 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0779
  • 4× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+120.60 ₴ +0.8% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 70 259.06 ₴ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −13 049 ₴ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)
×50
P90 | Nostalgia
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0077
28 081.62 ₴
at 561.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details10 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.007702f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 5 481.26 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 77 · from 1 833.08 ₴ (float 0.0057) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
50
buy
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 3 076.60 ₴.

Set · 50 pcs 28 081.62 ₴ -1 791.90 (-6.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
AWP | Wildfire
Factory New
8 499.70 ₴ 50%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)+4 314.44 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0193
craft on
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
2 996.71 ₴ 50%
Steam FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)fetches 2 605.83, no more than the replacement you get 0.0068
2

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 8%
  • Losing outcome 77%
  • Above the Steam cap 15%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
15 679.30 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 13634.17 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 410.08 ₴ (you get 12 530.51)) · buy orders: 609 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 842.23 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 984.90 · lots 8 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 10 809.94 ₴ listings: 128 on CS.Money: ~ 11 519.57 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 11 484.55 ₴ listings: 76
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
10 242.97 ₴ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 8906.93 you get 0.013378 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 035.29 ₴ (you get 8 726.34)) · buy orders: 331 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 300.34 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 101.25 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 7 599.37 ₴ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 8 724.62 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 252.88 ₴ listings: 38
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
15 318.16 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 13320.14 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 592.86 ₴ (you get 8 341.62)) · buy orders: 169 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 818.07 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 861.93 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 9 085.04 ₴ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 9 078.30 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 9 468.35 ₴ listings: 7
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
12 927.92 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 11241.67 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 563.55 ₴ (you get 6 577.00)) · buy orders: 133 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 390.07 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 8 103.15 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 8 078.73 ₴ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 7 112.82 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 449.93 ₴ listings: 5
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
16 592.28 ₴ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 14428.07 you get 0.013513 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 16 720.48 ₴ (you get 14 539.55)) · buy orders: 173 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 511.70 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 201.43 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 13 599.95 ₴ listings: 17 on CS.Money: ~ 15 071.26 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 15 794.79 ₴ listings: 17
at a loss
worst
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
7 145.14 ₴ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 7002.24 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 7 145.14 ₴ listings 3 · you get 7 002.24 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 5 279.20 ₴ (you get 4 590.61)) · buy orders: 80 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 7 145.14 ₴ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
15 754.77 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 13699.80 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
in profit
best
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
80 797.92 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 70259.06 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 24 451.89 ₴ (you get 21 262.51)) · buy orders: 46 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 40 395.90 ₴ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 43 927.85 ₴ listings: 6
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
29 035.73 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 25248.46 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 321.66 ₴ (you get 7 236.22)) · buy orders: 57 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 17 740.53 ₴ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
16 317.21 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 14188.88 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 111.59 ₴ (you get 6 183.99)) · buy orders: 85 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 7 121.79 ₴ listings: 3
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
11 060.27 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 9617.63
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 938.09 ₴ (you get 8 641.81)) · buy orders: 1036 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 755.58 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 8 503.93 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 7 634.38 ₴ listings: 46 on CS.Money: ~ 8 949.49 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 7 584.10 ₴ listings: 54
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