Knives and gloves · The Gamma Collection
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The Gamma Collection

Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753650 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +34 752.58₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 52 466.98₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 87 219.56₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +66.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 13%
From the outcome -26 890.22 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +61 642.80 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 152 154.25₴ · profit at most −64 934.69₴ (at most -42.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) × 450 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 44134.17 → 127989.09 ₴
P90 | Chopper (Factory New) × 50 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 8332.81 → 24165.16 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -26 890.22 ₴.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 6. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 20.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +23 883.83 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+34 752.58 ₴ +66.2% chance of profit 13%
expensive: ★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) · 68 179.30 ₴ · chance 3.3%
profit only from resale marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 77% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+703.08 ₴ +67.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 3 557.00 ₴ · chance 33%
rare inputs
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+1 578.90 ₴ +22.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) · 10 977.53 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 910 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0757
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0050

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 500 pcs needed, and about 3 sell per day — buying will take 167 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×450
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0766
44 134.17 ₴
at 98.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×50
P90 | Chopper
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0058
8 332.81 ₴
at 166.66
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 164 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1 205.19 ₴
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 740.60 ₴.

Craft on only from Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 7 473.80 ₴.

Set · 500 pcs 52 466.98 ₴ +34 752.58 (+66.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 30 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
1 261.79 ₴ 33%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)+356.61 each above the replacement you get 0.0441
sell
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
4 090.55 ₴ 33%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)+2 816.40 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
693.52 ₴ 33%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)fetches 603.06, no more than the replacement you get 0.0315
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel
Factory New
6 938.29 ₴ 50%
Steam Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)fetches 6 033.29, no more than the replacement you get 0.0378
sell
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries
Factory New
12 624.15 ₴ 50%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)+3 503.73 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0560
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 13%
  • Losing outcome 87%
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
29 496.09 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 25648.77 you get 0.005600
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 486.71 ₴ (you get 23 031.92)) · buy orders: 1417
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Freehand
Factory New
10 075.04 ₴ 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New)net 8760.91 you get 0.033600 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 549.39 ₴ (you get 9 173.38)) · buy orders: 249
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Lore
Factory New
27 053.99 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)net 23525.21 you get 0.045500
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate
Factory New
19 615.91 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 17057.31 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 582.57 ₴ (you get 13 550.06)) · buy orders: 145
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Autotronic
Factory New
35 348.11 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)net 30737.49 you get 0.059500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 899.59 ₴ (you get 23 390.95)) · buy orders: 294
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Bright Water
Factory New
11 600.11 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)net 10087.06 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 512.81 ₴ (you get 9 141.57)) · buy orders: 256
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
20 976.45 ₴ 3.33%
pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 18240.39 you get 0.005600 sells 7 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Freehand
Factory New
7 406.46 ₴ 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Freehand (Factory New)net 6440.40 you get 0.033600 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 527.97 ₴ (you get 6 546.06)) · buy orders: 176
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Lore
Factory New
16 249.72 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Lore (Factory New)net 14130.19 you get 0.045500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 867.93 ₴ (you get 12 059.07)) · buy orders: 251
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate
Factory New
11 594.35 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 10082.05 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 720.25 ₴ (you get 9 321.96)) · buy orders: 101
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic
Factory New
21 208.87 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)net 18442.49 you get 0.059500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 014.36 ₴ (you get 13 055.97)) · buy orders: 135
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Bright Water
Factory New
8 523.84 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)net 7412.03 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
8 896.12 ₴ 3.33%
pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 7735.75 you get 0.005600 sells 27 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 136.77 ₴ (you get 7 075.45)) · buy orders: 1445
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Freehand
Factory New
3 815.74 ₴ 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Factory New)net 3318.03 you get 0.033600 sells 13 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Lore
Factory New
6 796.46 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New)net 5909.97 you get 0.045500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 238.74 ₴ (you get 5 424.99)) · buy orders: 242
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate
Factory New
7 182.52 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 6245.67 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 694.08 ₴ (you get 4 951.38)) · buy orders: 96
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic
Factory New
11 221.85 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)net 9758.13 you get 0.059500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 605.26 ₴ (you get 7 482.84)) · buy orders: 201
at a loss
worst
★ Gut Knife | Bright Water
Factory New
3 449.34 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)net 2999.42 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 245.39 ₴ (you get 2 822.07)) · buy orders: 218
in profit
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
69 089.10 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 67707.32 you get 0.005600 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 69 089.10 ₴ listings 614 · you get 67 707.32 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 91 104.85 ₴ (you get 79 221.60)) · buy orders: 1401
at a loss
★ Karambit | Freehand
Factory New
40 398.96 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New)net 35129.53 you get 0.033600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 584.03 ₴ (you get 27 464.37)) · buy orders: 580
at a loss
★ Karambit | Lore
Factory New
47 585.02 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)net 46633.32 you get 0.045500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 47 585.02 ₴ listings 34 · you get 46 633.32 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 63 350.94 ₴ (you get 55 087.78)) · buy orders: 1376
at a loss
★ Karambit | Black Laminate
Factory New
41 742.43 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 40907.57 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 41 742.43 ₴ listings 11 · you get 40 907.57 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 55 387.04 ₴ (you get 48 162.65)) · buy orders: 211
in profit
best
★ Karambit | Autotronic
Factory New
69 570.71 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New)net 68179.30 you get 0.059500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 69 570.71 ₴ listings 11 · you get 68 179.30 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 86 594.77 ₴ (you get 75 299.80)) · buy orders: 457
at a loss
★ Karambit | Bright Water
Factory New
35 550.19 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New)net 30913.21 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 29 936.53 ₴ (you get 26 031.76)) · buy orders: 408
in profit
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
68 940.69 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 59948.42 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 63 791.38 ₴ (you get 55 470.76)) · buy orders: 1054
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand
Factory New
27 381.74 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New)net 23810.21 you get 0.033600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 198.61 ₴ (you get 19 303.14)) · buy orders: 318
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore
Factory New
48 265.02 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)net 47299.72 you get 0.045500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 48 265.02 ₴ listings 16 · you get 47 299.72 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 58 493.14 ₴ (you get 50 863.59)) · buy orders: 702
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate
Factory New
48 511.73 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 42184.11 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 41 207.45 ₴ (you get 35 832.56)) · buy orders: 149
in profit
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic
Factory New
56 464.49 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)net 55335.19 you get 0.059500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 56 464.49 ₴ listings 9 · you get 55 335.19 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 61 400.30 ₴ (you get 53 391.57)) · buy orders: 257
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water
Factory New
26 132.17 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)net 22723.62 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 736.13 ₴ (you get 18 900.98)) · buy orders: 195
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