Knives and gloves · The Gamma Collection
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The Gamma Collection

Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753650 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +774.27$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 168.94$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 943.21$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +66.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 13%
From the outcome -599.10 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1 373.37 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 389.92$ · profit at most −1 446.71$ (at most -42.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) × 450 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 983.29 → 2851.53 $
P90 | Chopper (Factory New) × 50 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 185.65 → 538.39 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -599.10 $.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 6. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 20.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +532.12 $.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+774.27 $ +66.2% chance of profit 13%
expensive: ★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) · 1 519.00 $ · chance 3.3%
profit only from resale marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 77% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+15.66 $ +67.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 79.25 $ · chance 33%
rare inputs
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× P90 | Chopper (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+35.18 $ +22.8% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) · 244.57 $ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −87 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0757
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0050

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 500 pcs needed, and about 3 sell per day — buying will take 167 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×450
Sawed-Off | Limelight
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0766
983.29 $
at 2.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×50
P90 | Chopper
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0058
185.65 $
at 3.71
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 164 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 26.85 $
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 16.50 $.

Craft on only from Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 166.51 $.

Set · 500 pcs 1 168.94 $ +774.27 (+66.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000, 0.005600, 0.033600, 0.045500, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.035000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 30 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
P2000 | Imperial Dragon
Factory New
28.11 $ 33%
Steam P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)+7.95 each above the replacement you get 0.0441
sell
M4A4 | Desolate Space
Factory New
91.14 $ 33%
Steam M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)+62.75 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport
Factory New
15.45 $ 33%
Steam SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)fetches 13.44, no more than the replacement you get 0.0315
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel
Factory New
154.58 $ 50%
Steam Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)fetches 134.42, no more than the replacement you get 0.0378
sell
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries
Factory New
281.26 $ 50%
price without deals
Steam M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)+78.06 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0560
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 13%
  • Losing outcome 87%
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
657.16 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 571.44 you get 0.005600
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 590.11 $ (you get 513.14)) · buy orders: 1417
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Freehand
Factory New
224.47 $ 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New)net 195.19 you get 0.033600 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 235.04 $ (you get 204.38)) · buy orders: 249
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Lore
Factory New
602.75 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)net 524.13 you get 0.045500
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate
Factory New
437.03 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 380.03 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 347.17 $ (you get 301.89)) · buy orders: 145
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Autotronic
Factory New
787.54 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)net 684.82 you get 0.059500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 599.31 $ (you get 521.14)) · buy orders: 294
at a loss
★ Bayonet | Bright Water
Factory New
258.44 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)net 224.73 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 234.22 $ (you get 203.67)) · buy orders: 256
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
467.34 $ 3.33%
pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 406.39 you get 0.005600 sells 7 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Freehand
Factory New
165.01 $ 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Freehand (Factory New)net 143.49 you get 0.033600 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 167.72 $ (you get 145.84)) · buy orders: 176
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Lore
Factory New
362.04 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Lore (Factory New)net 314.81 you get 0.045500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 308.97 $ (you get 268.67)) · buy orders: 251
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate
Factory New
258.32 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 224.62 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 238.84 $ (you get 207.69)) · buy orders: 101
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic
Factory New
472.52 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)net 410.89 you get 0.059500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 334.51 $ (you get 290.88)) · buy orders: 135
at a loss
★ Flip Knife | Bright Water
Factory New
189.91 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)net 165.14 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
198.20 $ 3.33%
pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 172.35 you get 0.005600 sells 27 a week sell now to a buy order: 181.28 $ (you get 157.64)) · buy orders: 1445
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Freehand
Factory New
85.01 $ 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Factory New)net 73.92 you get 0.033600 sells 13 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Lore
Factory New
151.42 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New)net 131.67 you get 0.045500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 139.00 $ (you get 120.87)) · buy orders: 242
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate
Factory New
160.02 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 139.15 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 126.86 $ (you get 110.31)) · buy orders: 96
at a loss
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic
Factory New
250.02 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)net 217.41 you get 0.059500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 191.72 $ (you get 166.71)) · buy orders: 201
at a loss
worst
★ Gut Knife | Bright Water
Factory New
76.85 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)net 66.83 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 72.31 $ (you get 62.87)) · buy orders: 218
in profit
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
1 539.27 $ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 1508.48 you get 0.005600 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 539.27 $ listings 614 · you get 1 508.48 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 2 029.77 $ (you get 1 765.02)) · buy orders: 1401
at a loss
★ Karambit | Freehand
Factory New
900.07 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Freehand (Factory New)net 782.67 you get 0.033600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 703.68 $ (you get 611.89)) · buy orders: 580
at a loss
★ Karambit | Lore
Factory New
1 060.17 $ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)net 1038.97 you get 0.045500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 060.17 $ listings 34 · you get 1 038.97 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 411.43 $ (you get 1 227.33)) · buy orders: 1376
at a loss
★ Karambit | Black Laminate
Factory New
930.00 $ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 911.40 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 930.00 $ listings 11 · you get 911.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 234.00 $ (you get 1 073.04)) · buy orders: 211
in profit
best
★ Karambit | Autotronic
Factory New
1 550.00 $ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New)net 1519.00 you get 0.059500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 550.00 $ listings 11 · you get 1 519.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 929.29 $ (you get 1 677.64)) · buy orders: 457
at a loss
★ Karambit | Bright Water
Factory New
792.04 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New)net 688.73 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 666.97 $ (you get 579.97)) · buy orders: 408
in profit
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
1 535.96 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 1335.62 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 421.24 $ (you get 1 235.86)) · buy orders: 1054
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand
Factory New
610.05 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New)net 530.48 you get 0.033600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 494.57 $ (you get 430.06)) · buy orders: 318
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore
Factory New
1 075.32 $ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)net 1053.81 you get 0.045500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 075.32 $ listings 16 · you get 1 053.81 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 303.20 $ (you get 1 133.21)) · buy orders: 702
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate
Factory New
1 080.82 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New)net 939.84 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 918.08 $ (you get 798.33)) · buy orders: 149
in profit
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic
Factory New
1 258.00 $ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)net 1232.84 you get 0.059500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 258.00 $ listings 9 · you get 1 232.84 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 367.97 $ (you get 1 189.54)) · buy orders: 257
at a loss
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water
Factory New
582.21 $ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)net 506.27 you get 0.035000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 484.27 $ (you get 421.10)) · buy orders: 195
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