Knives and gloves · The Prisma Collection
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The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753719 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +226 564.19₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 411 640.82₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 638 205.01₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +55.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 4%
From the outcome -273 844.48 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +500 408.73 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 193 758.38₸ · profit at most −555 553.37₸ (at most -46.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) × 50 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 19686.58 → 57091.10 ₸
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) × 450 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 391954.24 → 1136667.29 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −354 615 ₸ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −354 615 ₸: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New), StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear), ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) and 19 more
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -273 844.48 ₸.
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 3.6% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 3.6% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +220 240.70 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+226 564.21 ₸ +55.0% chance of profit 4%
expensive: ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) · 423 349.29 ₸ · chance 3.6%
profit on prices without salesat least −354 615 ₸ profit only from resale Outcome alone -273844, selling intermediates +500409. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1629
  • 9× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+8 335.84 ₸ +60.1% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) · 33 792.04 ₸ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 097 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0760
  • 9× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0053
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+82 932.02 ₸ +226.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) · 197 694.03 ₸ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −36 554 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) buy 0.3800–0.3838
  • 9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)
×50
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1629
19 686.58 ₸
at 393.73
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.162912f′ (normalized) 0.162912wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 42 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 703.39 ₸ · little data: 2.0 d.
×450
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0744
391 954.24 ₸
at 871.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074491f′ (normalized) 0.074491wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 3 709.94 ₸.

Craft on only from StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 47 469.27 ₸.

Set · 500 pcs 411 640.82 ₸ +226 564.19 (+55.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.083333233 result 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.041667, 0.450000, 0.121667, 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.041667, 0.450000, 0.121667, 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.041667, 0.450000, 0.121667, 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.006667, 0.041667, 0.450000, 0.121667, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 28 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum
Minimal Wear
11 047.59 ₸ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear)+5 896.64 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.1292
sell
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher
Field-Tested
6 099.70 ₸ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)+1 594.13 each above the replacement you get 0.2958
craft on
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator
Field-Tested
3 637.21 ₸ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested)fetches 3 162.78, no more than the replacement you get 0.1825
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob
Factory New
47 469.27 ₸ 50%
Steam StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)fetches 41 277.64, no more than the replacement you get 0.0583
sell
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor
Factory New
227 348.12 ₸ 50%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)+150 224.76 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0667
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 93%
  • About break-even 4%
  • Above the Steam cap 4%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler
Factory New
87 204.42 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 75829.93 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 77 509.39 ₸ (you get 67 399.43)) · buy orders: 275
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
64 215.45 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 55839.54 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 59 993.11 ₸ (you get 52 167.89)) · buy orders: 186
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
48 800.84 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 42435.52 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 46 375.53 ₸ (you get 40 326.51)) · buy orders: 210
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
46 170.99 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 40148.66 you get 0.041667
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 3.57%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000 sell now to a buy order: 26 392.95 ₸ (you get 22 950.36)) · buy orders: 160
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
46 516.78 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 40449.35 you get 0.121667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 34 770.28 ₸ (you get 30 235.01)) · buy orders: 93
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler
Factory New
340 553.29 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 296133.29 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 263 465.37 ₸ (you get 229 100.32)) · buy orders: 300
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
203 814.52 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 177230.00 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 169 988.08 ₸ (you get 147 815.69)) · buy orders: 215
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
175 359.19 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 152486.25 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 149 556.60 ₸ (you get 130 049.18)) · buy orders: 192
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
167 596.32 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 145735.95 you get 0.041667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 126 346.16 ₸ (you get 109 866.18)) · buy orders: 131
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
231 282.22 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 201114.99 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 82 825.33 ₸ (you get 72 021.99)) · buy orders: 102
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
143 209.95 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 124530.40 you get 0.121667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 133 598.78 ₸ (you get 116 172.85)) · buy orders: 78
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler
Factory New
142 325.28 ₸ 3.57%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 123761.13 you get 0.006667 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 127 894.55 ₸ (you get 111 212.62)) · buy orders: 285
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
98 724.02 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 85846.96 you get 0.006667
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
86 295.23 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 75039.35 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 79 299.89 ₸ (you get 68 956.37)) · buy orders: 173
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
72 297.10 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 62867.06 you get 0.041667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 60 114.15 ₸ (you get 52 273.17)) · buy orders: 96
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
98 718.85 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 85842.48 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 40 076.09 ₸ (you get 34 848.76)) · buy orders: 115
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
88 959.68 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 77356.23 you get 0.121667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 68 753.78 ₸ (you get 59 785.88)) · buy orders: 101
about break-even
best
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler
Factory New
486 851.70 ₸ 3.57%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 423349.29 you get 0.006667 sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 485 200.35 ₸ (you get 421 913.34)) · buy orders: 647
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
387 187.21 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 336684.54 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 318 828.53 ₸ (you get 277 242.18)) · buy orders: 785
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
319 799.80 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 278086.77 you get 0.006667
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
253 916.91 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 220797.30 you get 0.041667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 208 071.99 ₸ (you get 180 932.14)) · buy orders: 165
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
180 671.85 ₸ 3.57%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 177058.38 you get 0.450000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 180 671.85 ₸ listings 6 · you get 177 058.38 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 129 876.66 ₸ (you get 112 936.18)) · buy orders: 82
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
256 542.34 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 223080.31 you get 0.121667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 207 179.25 ₸ (you get 180 155.86)) · buy orders: 154
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife
no wear
38 782.34 ₸ 3.57%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 33723.79 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 43 228.31 ₸ (you get 37 589.80)) · buy orders: 242
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife
no wear
29 709.10 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knifenet 25834.02
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 25 359.01 ₸ (you get 22 051.30)) · buy orders: 313
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife
no wear
109 116.00 ₸ 3.57%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knifenet 94883.49 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 104 936.28 ₸ (you get 91 248.92)) · buy orders: 286
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife
no wear
209 475.02 ₸ 3.57%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knifenet 182152.20
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work