Knives and gloves · The Recoil Collection
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to all knife crafts

The Recoil Collection

Classified → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753720 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +197 072.76₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 219 974.97₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 417 047.74₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +89.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 71%
From the outcome +196 311.83 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +760.93 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 631 426.39₸ · profit at most −214 378.60₸ (at most -34.0%) · chance of profit at most 17%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 15118.72 → 37343.23 ₸
P250 | Visions (Factory New) × 45 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 204856.26 → 594083.14 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 10. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 41.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -62 520.53 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → нож или перчатки
+197 072.77 ₸ +89.6% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 1 195 522.87 ₸ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 9× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+7 084.21 ₸ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 40 664.39 ₸ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+214 486.78 ₸ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 1 195 522.87 ₸ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 50 pcs. but about 21 sell per day — buying will take 3 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0753
15 118.72 ₸
at 3 023.74
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.075317f′ (normalized) 0.075317wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 151 · from 13 228.49 ₸ (float 0.0749) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×45
P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
204 856.26 ₸
at 4 552.36
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.004652f′ (normalized) 0.006646wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 317 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 21 097.48 ₸
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 233 · from 18 523.48 ₸ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
50
buy
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 40 360.00 ₸.

Set · 50 pcs 219 974.97 ₸ +197 072.76 (+89.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 24 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
37 451.88 ₸ 50%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)fetches 32 566.86, no more than the replacement you get 0.0095
sell
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
46 764.04 ₸ 50%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)+304.38 each above the replacement you get 0.0115
2

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 71%
  • Losing outcome 29%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Factory New
172 772.53 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)net 150236.99 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 111 400.96 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 122 150.24 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 76 664.70 ₸ listings: 12 on Lis-Skins: from 100 239.24 ₸ listings: 40
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Factory New
442 895.15 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)net 385126.20 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 290 932.60 ₸ (you get 252 984.83)) · buy orders: 145 sell on Market.CSGO: 237 958.52 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 260 919.48 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 257 521.79 ₸ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 274 125.13 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 245 702.87 ₸ listings: 10
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Factory New
162 660.77 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)net 141444.14 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 132 847.29 ₸ (you get 115 519.35)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 83 697.92 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 91 774.03 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 94 867.40 ₸ listings: 11 on Lis-Skins: from 97 022.45 ₸ listings: 15
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Factory New
155 879.99 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)net 135547.82 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 100 835.87 ₸ (you get 87 683.34)) · buy orders: 113 sell on Market.CSGO: 104 983.01 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 115 112.96 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 86 174.92 ₸ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 102 642.77 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 97 162.54 ₸ listings: 11
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
Factory New
457 453.58 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New)net 397785.74 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 333 946.35 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 366 169.27 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 257 006.75 ₸ listings: 8 on CS.Money: ~ 299 705.67 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 280 332.80 ₸ listings: 18
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Factory New
504 195.25 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 438430.66 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 208 470.41 ₸ (you get 181 278.61)) · buy orders: 79 sell on Market.CSGO: 179 064.54 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 196 342.74 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 170 018.57 ₸ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 188 713.78 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 183 247.06 ₸ listings: 13
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
177 907.66 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 154702.33 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 93 426.86 ₸ (you get 81 240.75)) · buy orders: 164 sell on Market.CSGO: 115 079.42 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 126 183.60 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 88 967.01 ₸ listings: 9 on CS.Money: ~ 101 495.22 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 94 596.35 ₸ listings: 12
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
482 703.72 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 419742.36 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 332 284.71 ₸ (you get 288 943.21)) · buy orders: 117 sell on Market.CSGO: 307 180.72 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 336 820.99 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 250 744.91 ₸ listings: 9 on Lis-Skins: from 289 978.57 ₸ listings: 9
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
910 700.89 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 892486.86 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 910 700.89 ₸ listings 19 · you get 892 486.86 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 900 582.75 ₸ (you get 783 115.42)) · buy orders: 53 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 910 700.89 ₸ listings: 19 on CS.Money: ~ 913 664.67 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 859 634.82 ₸ listings: 15
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
Factory New
451 371.33 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New)net 392496.81 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 186 611.63 ₸ (you get 162 270.94)) · buy orders: 107 sell on Market.CSGO: 226 279.59 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 248 113.63 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 185 234.97 ₸ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 192 788.92 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 220 890.45 ₸ listings: 23
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
257 404.33 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 252256.23 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 257 404.33 ₸ listings 16 · you get 252 256.23 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 359 414.01 ₸ (you get 312 533.89)) · buy orders: 142 sell on Market.CSGO: 281 656.46 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 308 833.86 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 257 404.33 ₸ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 280 924.64 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 261 655.68 ₸ listings: 10
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
515 043.57 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 504742.68 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 515 043.57 ₸ listings 9 · you get 504 742.68 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 515 043.57 ₸ listings: 9 on CS.Money: ~ 537 249.15 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 507 476.01 ₸ listings: 24
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
448 321.43 ₸ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 425905.35 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 448 321.43 ₸ listings 5 · you get 425 905.35 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 405 254.93 ₸ (you get 352 395.57)) · buy orders: 63 sell on Market.CSGO: 408 869.14 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 448 321.43 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 438 500.87 ₸ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 404 688.68 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 389 675.60 ₸ listings: 22
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
667 116.94 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 653774.58 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 667 116.94 ₸ listings 6 · you get 653 774.58 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 900 582.75 ₸ (you get 783 115.42)) · buy orders: 27 sell on Market.CSGO: 715 998.85 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 785 086.50 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 667 116.94 ₸ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 705 596.11 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 652 849.35 ₸ listings: 23
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
Factory New
448 321.43 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)net 389844.70 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 297 635.48 ₸ (you get 258 813.43)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 270 981.24 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 297 128.56 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 264 845.36 ₸ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 283 427.54 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 251 996.36 ₸ listings: 21
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
527 431.70 ₸ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 501060.11 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 527 431.70 ₸ listings 7 · you get 501 060.11 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 554 403.03 ₸ (you get 482 089.58)) · buy orders: 47 sell on Market.CSGO: 481 017.67 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 527 431.70 · lots 7 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 460 674.84 ₸ listings: 32
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
423 162.47 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 414699.22 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 423 162.47 ₸ listings 10 · you get 414 699.22 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 562 977.05 ₸ (you get 489 545.21)) · buy orders: 74 sell on Market.CSGO: 480 161.58 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 526 492.97 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 423 162.47 ₸ listings: 10 on Lis-Skins: from 453 274.48 ₸ listings: 19
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
288 672.90 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 282899.42 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 288 672.90 ₸ listings 5 · you get 282 899.42 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 427 794.58 ₸ (you get 371 995.28)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 328 788.28 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 360 513.51 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 288 672.90 ₸ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 319 548.38 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 309 179.76 ₸ listings: 22
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
1 219 921.31 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 1195522.87 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 219 921.31 ₸ listings 14 · you get 1 195 522.87 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 900 582.75 ₸ (you get 783 115.42)) · buy orders: 94 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 1 219 921.31 ₸ listings: 14 on CS.Money: ~ 1 283 072.87 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 1 215 498.28 ₸ listings: 16
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
1 129 481.49 ₸ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 1106891.84 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 129 481.49 ₸ listings 3 · you get 1 106 891.84 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 900 582.75 ₸ (you get 783 115.42)) · buy orders: 78 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 1 129 481.49 ₸ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 1 311 992.14 ₸ listings: 22
at a loss
worst
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
86 892.50 ₸ 4.17%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 75558.67 you get 0.070000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 79 098.14 ₸ (you get 68 780.95)) · buy orders: 127 sell on Market.CSGO: 69 368.41 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 76 061.90 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 79 063.70 ₸ listings: 13 on Lis-Skins: from 76 221.92 ₸ listings: 24
in profit
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
Factory New
446 015.95 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New)net 387839.96 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 266 365.43 ₸ (you get 231 622.10)) · buy orders: 166 sell on Market.CSGO: 265 215.67 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 290 806.70 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 270 623.74 ₸ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 282 880.90 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 253 970.71 ₸ listings: 22
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
Factory New
137 930.04 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)net 119939.17 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 115 109.11 ₸ (you get 100 094.88)) · buy orders: 148 sell on Market.CSGO: 117 128.93 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 128 430.85 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 120 244.61 ₸ listings: 10 on Lis-Skins: from 119 955.47 ₸ listings: 14
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
Factory New
197 740.81 ₸ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Factory New)net 171948.51 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 158 478.67 ₸ (you get 137 807.52)) · buy orders: 121 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 115 207.11 ₸ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 128 029.00 ₸ Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
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