Knives and gloves · The Recoil Collection
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₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

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to all knife crafts

The Recoil Collection

Classified → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753720 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +436.20$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 486.89$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 923.10$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +89.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 71%
From the outcome +434.52 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1.68 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 397.60$ · profit at most −474.51$ (at most -34.0%) · chance of profit at most 17%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 33.46 → 82.66 $
P250 | Visions (Factory New) × 45 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 453.43 → 1314.95 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 10. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 41.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -138.38 $.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → нож или перчатки
+436.20 $ +89.6% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 2 646.18 $ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0753
  • 9× P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+15.68 $ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 90.01 $ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+474.75 $ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 2 646.18 $ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 50 pcs. but about 21 sell per day — buying will take 3 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0753
33.46 $
at 6.69
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.075317f′ (normalized) 0.075317wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 151 · from 29.28 $ (float 0.0749) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×45
P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
453.43 $
at 10.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.004652f′ (normalized) 0.006646wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 317 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 46.70 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 233 · from 41.00 $ (float 0.0023) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
50
buy
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 89.33 $.

Set · 50 pcs 486.89 $ +436.20 (+89.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 24 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
82.90 $ 50%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)fetches 72.08, no more than the replacement you get 0.0095
sell
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
103.51 $ 50%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)+0.67 each above the replacement you get 0.0115
2

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 71%
  • Losing outcome 29%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Factory New
382.42 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)net 332.54 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 246.58 $ to your card cheapest lot 270.37 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 169.69 $ listings: 12 on Lis-Skins: from 221.87 $ listings: 40
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Factory New
980.31 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)net 852.44 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 643.95 $ (you get 559.96)) · buy orders: 145 sell on Market.CSGO: 526.70 $ to your card cheapest lot 577.52 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 570.00 $ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 606.75 $ on Lis-Skins: from 543.84 $ listings: 10
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Factory New
360.03 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)net 313.07 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 294.04 $ (you get 255.69)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 185.26 $ to your card cheapest lot 203.13 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 209.98 $ listings: 11 on Lis-Skins: from 214.75 $ listings: 15
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Factory New
345.03 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)net 300.02 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 223.19 $ (you get 194.08)) · buy orders: 113 sell on Market.CSGO: 232.37 $ to your card cheapest lot 254.79 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 190.74 $ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 227.19 $ on Lis-Skins: from 215.06 $ listings: 11
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
Factory New
1 012.53 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New)net 880.46 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 739.16 $ to your card cheapest lot 810.48 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 568.86 $ listings: 8 on CS.Money: ~ 663.37 $ on Lis-Skins: from 620.49 $ listings: 18
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Factory New
1 115.99 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 970.42 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 461.43 $ (you get 401.24)) · buy orders: 79 sell on Market.CSGO: 396.34 $ to your card cheapest lot 434.59 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 376.32 $ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 417.70 $ on Lis-Skins: from 405.60 $ listings: 13
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
393.78 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 342.42 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 206.79 $ (you get 179.82)) · buy orders: 164 sell on Market.CSGO: 254.72 $ to your card cheapest lot 279.30 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 196.92 $ listings: 9 on CS.Money: ~ 224.65 $ on Lis-Skins: from 209.38 $ listings: 12
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
1 068.42 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 929.06 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 735.48 $ (you get 639.55)) · buy orders: 117 sell on Market.CSGO: 679.92 $ to your card cheapest lot 745.52 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 555.00 $ listings: 9 on Lis-Skins: from 641.84 $ listings: 9
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
2 015.75 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 1975.43 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 2 015.75 $ listings 19 · you get 1 975.43 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $ (you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 53 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 2 015.75 $ listings: 19 on CS.Money: ~ 2 022.31 $ on Lis-Skins: from 1 902.72 $ listings: 15
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
Factory New
999.07 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New)net 868.75 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 413.05 $ (you get 359.17)) · buy orders: 107 sell on Market.CSGO: 500.85 $ to your card cheapest lot 549.18 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 410.00 $ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 426.72 $ on Lis-Skins: from 488.92 $ listings: 23
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
569.74 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 558.35 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 569.74 $ listings 16 · you get 558.35 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 795.53 $ (you get 691.76)) · buy orders: 142 sell on Market.CSGO: 623.42 $ to your card cheapest lot 683.57 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 569.74 $ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 621.80 $ on Lis-Skins: from 579.15 $ listings: 10
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
1 140.00 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 1117.20 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 140.00 $ listings 9 · you get 1 117.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 1 140.00 $ listings: 9 on CS.Money: ~ 1 189.15 $ on Lis-Skins: from 1 123.25 $ listings: 24
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
992.32 $ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 942.70 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 992.32 $ listings 5 · you get 942.70 $ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 896.99 $ (you get 779.99)) · buy orders: 63 sell on Market.CSGO: 904.99 $ to your card cheapest lot 992.32 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 970.58 $ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 895.74 $ on Lis-Skins: from 862.51 $ listings: 22
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
1 476.60 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 1447.07 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 476.60 $ listings 6 · you get 1 447.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $ (you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 27 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 584.80 $ to your card cheapest lot 1 737.71 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 1 476.60 $ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 1 561.77 $ on Lis-Skins: from 1 445.02 $ listings: 23
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
Factory New
992.32 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)net 862.88 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 658.79 $ (you get 572.86)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 599.79 $ to your card cheapest lot 657.67 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 586.21 $ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 627.34 $ on Lis-Skins: from 557.77 $ listings: 21
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
1 167.42 $ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 1109.05 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 1 167.42 $ listings 7 · you get 1 109.05 $ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 227.12 $ (you get 1 067.06)) · buy orders: 47 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 064.69 $ to your card cheapest lot 1 167.42 · lots 7 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 1 019.66 $ listings: 32
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
936.63 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 917.90 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 936.63 $ listings 10 · you get 917.90 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 246.10 $ (you get 1 083.56)) · buy orders: 74 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 062.79 $ to your card cheapest lot 1 165.34 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 936.63 $ listings: 10 on Lis-Skins: from 1 003.28 $ listings: 19
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
638.95 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 626.17 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 638.95 $ listings 5 · you get 626.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 946.88 $ (you get 823.38)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 727.74 $ to your card cheapest lot 797.96 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 638.95 $ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 707.29 $ on Lis-Skins: from 684.34 $ listings: 22
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
2 700.18 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 2646.18 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 2 700.18 $ listings 14 · you get 2 646.18 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $ (you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 94 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 2 700.18 $ listings: 14 on CS.Money: ~ 2 839.96 $ on Lis-Skins: from 2 690.39 $ listings: 16
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
2 500.00 $ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 2450.00 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 2 500.00 $ listings 3 · you get 2 450.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $ (you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 78 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 2 500.00 $ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 2 903.97 $ listings: 22
at a loss
worst
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
192.33 $ 4.17%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 167.24 you get 0.070000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 175.08 $ (you get 152.24)) · buy orders: 127 sell on Market.CSGO: 153.54 $ to your card cheapest lot 168.36 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 175.00 $ listings: 13 on Lis-Skins: from 168.71 $ listings: 24
in profit
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
Factory New
987.21 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New)net 858.45 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 589.57 $ (you get 512.67)) · buy orders: 166 sell on Market.CSGO: 587.03 $ to your card cheapest lot 643.67 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 599.00 $ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 626.13 $ on Lis-Skins: from 562.14 $ listings: 22
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
Factory New
305.30 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)net 265.47 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 254.78 $ (you get 221.55)) · buy orders: 148 sell on Market.CSGO: 259.25 $ to your card cheapest lot 284.27 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 266.15 $ listings: 10 on Lis-Skins: from 265.51 $ listings: 14
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
Factory New
437.68 $ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Factory New)net 380.59 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 350.78 $ (you get 305.02)) · buy orders: 121 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 255.00 $ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 283.38 $ Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
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