Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1974100 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +21 648.44₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 39 855.43₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 61 503.87₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +54.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 97 766.32₽ · profit at most −36 262.45₽ (−37.1%) · chance of profit at most 45%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1 712.83 → 3 699.71 ₽
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 3 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 6 685.26 → 15 108.69 ₽
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) × 6 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 31 457.34 → 78 957.92 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −30 917.14 ₽.
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

13% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 13% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0093
1 712.83 ₽
at 1 712.83
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009367f′ (normalized) 0.009367wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 20 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 4 140.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 66 · from 3 216.34 ₽ (float 0.0038) · craft not before 17.10 · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0807
6 685.26 ₽
at 2 228.42
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.080705f′ (normalized) 0.080705wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 6 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 11) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0093
31 457.34 ₽
at 5 242.89
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009367f′ (normalized) 0.009367wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 6) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 39 855.43 ₽ +21 648.44 (+54.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.030769131 result 0.070000, 0.018461, 0.030769, 0.024615 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
Factory New
119 196.35 ₽ 45.00%
sell on CSFloat
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)net 116 812.42 ₽ you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 119 196.35 ₽ listings 9 · you get 116 812.42 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 107 067.21 ₽ (you get 93 101.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 430 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 119 196.35 ₽ listings: 9 on Lis-Skins: from 154 319.66 ₽ listings: 9
at a loss
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
20 254.14 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)net 17 612.30 ₽ you get 0.018461The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 17 319.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 18 991.05 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 15 331.94 ₽ listings: 15 on Lis-Skins: from 15 376.24 ₽ listings: 15
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish
Factory New
12 687.54 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)net 11 032.64 ₽ you get 0.030769 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 12 894.88 ₽ (you get 11 212.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 1751 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 631.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 657.71 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 10 394.54 ₽ listings: 64 on CS.Money: ~ 11 017.36 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 10 927.04 ₽ listings: 64
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector
Factory New
10 605.76 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New)net 9 222.40 ₽ you get 0.024615 sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 511.71 ₽ (you get 8 271.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 2364 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 244.56 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 040.09 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 7 071.69 ₽ listings: 42 on CS.Money: ~ 8 069.40 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 602.50 ₽ listings: 45

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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