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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +867.24₽

Invest 1 132.64₽

Average return 1 999.88₽

ROI +76.6%

Chance of profit 93%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 865.02₽ · profit at most −865.14₽ (−30.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 180.32 → 398.51 ₽

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 952.32 → 2 466.51 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

180.32 ₽

at 90.16

Steam

×8

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

952.32 ₽

at 119.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 132.64 ₽ +867.24 (+76.6%)

10% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 10% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

90.16 ₽

at 90.16

Steam

×8

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

952.32 ₽

at 119.04

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

322.40 ₽

at 322.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 364.88 ₽ +693.45 (+50.8%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

540.96 ₽

at 90.16

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

57.84 ₽

at 57.84

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

357.12 ₽

at 119.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 955.92 ₽ +810.17 (+84.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

best

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

2 505.30 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

2 324.65 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

2 472.92 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

2 344.07 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

667.54 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

2 274.85 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +616.79 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +760.98 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1977106 · The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 832.29₽ · invest 1 338.35₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.075228
Craft 1965406 · The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 816.39₽ · invest 1 256.09₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear), M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.075228
Craft 1967125 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 811.45₽ · invest 1 229.46₽
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.075228
Craft 1980017 · The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 804.34₽ · invest 1 993.45₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074152 instead of 0.075228

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build