The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +372.52₽

Invest 655.70₽

Average return 1 028.22₽

ROI +56.8%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 672.35₽ · profit at most −644.14₽ (−38.5%) · chance of profit at most 4%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 9 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 544.77 → 1 432.75 ₽

CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 110.93 → 239.61 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

544.77 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

110.93 ₽

at 110.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 655.70 ₽ +372.52 (+56.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −106 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

423.71 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×1

MP7 | Cirrus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

242.59 ₽

at 242.59

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Sonar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

683.44 ₽

at 341.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 349.74 ₽ +116.81 (+8.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −136 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

363.18 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×1

MP7 | Cirrus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

242.59 ₽

at 242.59

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Sonar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

1 025.16 ₽

at 341.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 630.93 ₽ +54.79 (+3.4%)

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×8

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

484.24 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Polymer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

110.93 ₽

at 110.93

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Sonar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

341.72 ₽

at 341.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 936.89 ₽ +310.49 (+33.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 20%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

527.81 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

1 636.88 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

764.47 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

423.89 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

1 298.98 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

1 854.39 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

742.88 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

10 920.73 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

623.11 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

3 113.07 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +186.17 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +302.42 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build