Crafts · The Shadow Collection
₽
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD
LanguageRU
to all crafts

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 2038494 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +240.53₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 480.56₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 721.09₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +50.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 51%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 154.50₽ · profit at most −433.41₽ (−37.5%) · chance of profit at most 24%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 74.20 → 163.98 ₽
XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 289.17 → 737.38 ₽
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 117.19 → 253.13 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2
SCAR-20 | Green Marine
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
74.20 ₽
at 37.10
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074073f′ (normalized) 0.092592wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 51) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×7
XM1014 | Scumbria
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
289.17 ₽
at 41.31
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074073f′ (normalized) 0.074073wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 77 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 108) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×1
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
117.19 ₽
at 117.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074073f′ (normalized) 0.074073wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 142 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 135) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 480.56 ₽ +240.53 (+50.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.077777678 result 0.070000, 0.077778, 0.048222, 0.070000, 0.062222, 0.047444, 0.077778, 0.035000, 0.031111 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 51%
  • Losing outcome 49%
in profit
Galil AR | Stone Cold
Factory New
1 883.81 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)net 1 638.10 ₽ you get 0.070000 sells about 25 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) sell now to a buy order: 2 001.41 ₽ (you get 1 740.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 4669 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 537.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 685.53 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 1 519.72 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 1 535.85 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 540.94 ₽ listings: 117
at a loss
worst
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
238.15 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)net 207.09 ₽ you get 0.077778 sells 51 a week sell now to a buy order: 225.67 ₽ (you get 196.23 ₽)) · buy orders: 7581 sell on Market.CSGO: 186.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 204.21 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 165.56 ₽ listings: 19 on CS.Money: ~ 175.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 176.59 ₽ listings: 48
at a loss
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
422.61 ₽ 22.50%
Steam MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New)net 367.49 ₽ you get 0.048222 sells 24 a week sell now to a buy order: 506.81 ₽ (you get 440.70 ₽)) · buy orders: 4069 sell on Market.CSGO: 418.88 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 459.30 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 369.32 ₽ listings: 63 on CS.Money: ~ 357.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 390.54 ₽ listings: 68
in profit
P250 | Wingshot
Factory New
669.94 ₽ 22.50%
Steam P250 | Wingshot (Factory New)net 582.56 ₽ you get 0.070000 sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 600.52 ₽ (you get 522.19 ₽)) · buy orders: 5454 sell on Market.CSGO: 522.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 572.61 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 493.27 ₽ listings: 112 on CS.Money: ~ 506.86 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 504.31 ₽ listings: 109
in profit
best
FAMAS | Valence
Factory New
2 611.54 ₽ 2.00%
Steam FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)net 2 270.90 ₽ you get 0.062222The Wildfire Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 589.50 ₽ (you get 2 251.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 2973 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 261.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 479.66 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 2 069.87 ₽ listings: 76 on CS.Money: ~ 2 242.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 237.13 ₽ listings: 100
in profit
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Factory New
1 103.44 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New)net 959.51 ₽ you get 0.047444The Wildfire Collection sells about 16 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) sell now to a buy order: 1 058.56 ₽ (you get 920.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 6017 sell on Market.CSGO: 895.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 982.01 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 837.12 ₽ listings: 75 on Lis-Skins: from 889.76 ₽ listings: 208
at a loss
Glock-18 | Royal Legion
Minimal Wear
452.73 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)net 393.68 ₽ you get 0.077778The Wildfire Collection sells 93 a week sell now to a buy order: 439.87 ₽ (you get 382.49 ₽)) · buy orders: 13690 sell on Market.CSGO: 318.62 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 349.37 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 296.30 ₽ listings: 86 on CS.Money: ~ 331.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 342.15 ₽ listings: 119
at a loss
MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
475.36 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New)net 413.36 ₽ you get 0.035000The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 420.62 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 461.21 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 380.35 ₽ listings: 90 on CS.Money: ~ 402.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 422.80 ₽ listings: 33
in profit
MP7 | Impire
Factory New
656.28 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MP7 | Impire (Factory New)net 570.68 ₽ you get 0.031111The Wildfire Collection sells 36 a week sell now to a buy order: 731.52 ₽ (you get 636.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 5932 sell on Market.CSGO: 521.01 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 571.29 · lots 63 on CSFloat: from 543.36 ₽ listings: 111 on CS.Money: ~ 517.04 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 523.84 ₽ listings: 159

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection
Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work