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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +132.11₽

Invest 401.38₽

Average return 533.49₽

ROI +32.9%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 045.99₽ · profit at most −512.50₽ (−49.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 380.88 → 1 001.71 ₽

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 20.50 → 44.28 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

380.88 ₽

at 42.32

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

20.50 ₽

at 20.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 401.38 ₽ +132.11 (+32.9%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

14.86 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

253.92 ₽

at 42.32

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

7.41 ₽

at 7.41

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

41.00 ₽

at 20.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 317.19 ₽ +113.71 (+35.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 030.69 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

478.27 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

508.56 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093799

60.72 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

94.44 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

75.16 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106399

82.52 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100.19 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.46 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +116.03 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052036 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 135.59₽ · invest 410.36₽
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075773 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052074 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 133.54₽ · invest 407.11₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076014 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2051176 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 128.08₽ · invest 448.29₽
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2051989 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 126.98₽ · invest 414.20₽
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052251 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 125.41₽ · invest 407.24₽
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077271 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052478 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 124.82₽ · invest 424.82₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074362 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052138 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 123.61₽ · invest 409.25₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052164 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 123.34₽ · invest 424.43₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075862 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052344 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 123.27₽ · invest 434.33₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075735 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052461 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 123.16₽ · invest 422.14₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052479 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 123.15₽ · invest 424.82₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077166
Craft 2052322 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 122.94₽ · invest 435.07₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077166

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build